TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076896
Played Sep 4Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711711118118119
Karel Baros
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:42 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Karel Baros below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 94 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Adam Kanak at 61.6%
94 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 1–0 Karel Baros Karel Baros has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:42What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1607 vs Baros 1508
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 60% vs Baros 80%
Baros
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 60% vs Baros 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak +1 · Baros +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kanak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baros form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.53 / Baros 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Kanak)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13076896
Kanak1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 22 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it72% 13 of 18
Baros2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog46% won 20 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back33% 8 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKanak1wins
AwayBaros0wins
Kanak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKanakBarosK − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.023.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakBarosBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 80 vs 141 / 25757.5%54.9%46 / 80 vs 141 / 257Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.53/Baros 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 10 · 15:10A. Kanak—1211113K. Baros—10580
A. Kanak10
LSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140LSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112WSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123WSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381WSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272LSep 1 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.61117611113A. Kanak2.2091111972WSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100WSep 1 · 18:45J. Przybyla1.808121261A. Kanak1.91111410113
K. Baros10
WSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780WSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113WSep 2 · 17:15L. Dzida1.83511691K. Baros1.8311811113LSep 2 · 16:15L. Dzida2.0031111113K. Baros1.73115671WSep 2 · 15:15K. Baros2.101111113T. Molin1.678770WSep 2 · 13:45J. Przybyla2.0061191172K. Baros1.73118117113LAug 28 · 16:40K. Baros1.431179101V. Reska2.6071111123LAug 28 · 15:45T. Lysek2.0091111113K. Baros1.73117791LAug 28 · 15:15O. Kus2.501551112113K. Baros1.50171181092
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