TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13037069
Played Aug 28Finished
Karel Baros
Home
1.43
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1177119111012––
Vladislav Reska
Away
2.60
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingKarel Baros above · Vladislav Reska below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 78 set 4, 10-12
78 points played in total.
H2H Karel Baros 14–5 Vladislav Reska Vladislav Reska has won 5 of their 19 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Baros)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reska form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaros 1.43 / Reska 2.60
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Baros)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13037069
Baros1.43
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 61 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it88% 42 of 48
Reska2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 66 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBaros8wins
AwayReska2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBaros leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaros100%6 of 6
AwayReska50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baros6Reska4n = 10Baros took 6 of 10
S2Baros6Reska4n = 10Baros took 6 of 10
S3Baros6Reska4n = 10Baros took 6 of 10
S4Baros5Reska1n = 6Baros took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBarosReskaB − RBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.931.6+5.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBarosReskaBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 251 vs 228 / 45854.6%49.8%137 / 251 vs 228 / 458Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BarosBaros 1.43/Reska 2.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Baros · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Reska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 14:15K. Baros—11611113V. Reska—411961
WAug 20 · 15:45K. Baros—101111113V. Reska—124991
LAug 14 · 16:10K. Baros—7760V. Reska—1111113
WJul 31 · 17:09K. Baros—81111153V. Reska—1134131
WJul 31 · 15:45K. Baros—111110113V. Reska—591231
LJul 19 · 17:10K. Baros—6690V. Reska—1111113
WJul 19 · 16:15K. Baros—1311113V. Reska—11480
WJun 30 · 17:25K. Baros—16711113V. Reska—1411791
WJun 30 · 15:15K. Baros—111166113V. Reska—87111172
WJun 25 · 16:34K. Baros—1111113V. Reska—6930
K. Baros10
WSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 14:40A. Kanak1.53771111113K. Baros2.3811118892WSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113WSep 2 · 17:15L. Dzida1.83511691K. Baros1.8311811113LSep 2 · 16:15L. Dzida2.0031111113K. Baros1.73115671WSep 2 · 15:15K. Baros2.101111113T. Molin1.678770WSep 2 · 13:45J. Przybyla2.0061191172K. Baros1.73118117113LAug 28 · 15:45T. Lysek2.0091111113K. Baros1.73117791LAug 28 · 15:15O. Kus2.501551112113K. Baros1.50171181092
V. Reska10
WSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.83111178113J. Patrik1.8379111162WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272WSep 2 · 17:10V. Reska1.671111113O. Coufal2.105780
Upcoming Matches
K. Baros
Nothing scheduled
V. Reska1 of 2 neutral
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