TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13034890
Played Aug 28Finished
Ondrej Kus
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
15175111181210119
Karel Baros
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:40 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeKarel Baros to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Kus above · Karel Baros below
Set 1 · 15-17
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 109 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Karel Baros at 66.5%
109 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kus 1–4 Karel Baros Ondrej Kus has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:40What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Baros
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Baros
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kus 1389 vs Baros 1495
Baros
Wrong
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kus 40% vs Baros 60%
Baros
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kus 30% vs Baros 60%
Baros
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kus +1 · Baros +3
Baros
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Baros)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKus 2.50 / Baros 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Baros)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13034890
Kus2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 71 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back27% 19 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 39
Baros1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 61 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it88% 42 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKus1wins
AwayBaros4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderBaros leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKusn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBaros100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kus2Baros3n = 5Baros took 3 of 5
S2Kus1Baros4n = 5Baros took 4 of 5
S3Kus3Baros2n = 5Kus took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricKusBarosK − BBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match30.236.0−5.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKusBarosBasisWin rate · lifetime248 / 497 vs 137 / 24949.9%55%248 / 497 vs 137 / 249Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BarosKus 2.50/Baros 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Baros · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 31 · 15:15O. Kus—5360K. Baros—1111113
LJun 16 · 16:45O. Kus—71180K. Baros—1113113
LJun 16 · 15:15O. Kus—115119112K. Baros—611711133
WApr 24 · 14:15O. Kus—1211113K. Baros—10860
LDec 15 · 16:40O. Kus—4511101K. Baros—11116123
O. Kus10
LSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113LSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113LSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670WSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192LSep 1 · 17:40O. Kus1.8371111882J. Vanous1.83116611113WAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus1.501111113J. Coufal2.507890
K. Baros10
WSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 14:40A. Kanak1.53771111113K. Baros2.3811118892WSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113WSep 2 · 17:15L. Dzida1.83511691K. Baros1.8311811113LSep 2 · 16:15L. Dzida2.0031111113K. Baros1.73115671WSep 2 · 15:15K. Baros2.101111113T. Molin1.678770WSep 2 · 13:45J. Przybyla2.0061191172K. Baros1.73118117113LAug 28 · 16:40K. Baros1.431179101V. Reska2.6071111123LAug 28 · 15:45T. Lysek2.0091111113K. Baros1.73117791
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