TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13067189
Played Sep 2Finished
Jakub Travnicek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111012711––––
Ivan Heuman
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Travnicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · Ivan Heuman below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 57 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Travnicek at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 16–15 Ivan Heuman Ivan Heuman has won 15 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Travnicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-15 in 31
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Travnicek 1620 vs Heuman 1506
Travnicek
Wrong
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Travnicek 80% vs Heuman 60%
Travnicek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Travnicek 80% vs Heuman 60%
Travnicek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Travnicek +1 · Heuman -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Travnicek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heuman form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 1.67 / Heuman 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Travnicek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13067189
Travnicek1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite43% won 36 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it71% 27 of 38
Heuman2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 60 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back36% 20 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTravnicek6wins
AwayHeuman4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTravnicek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTravnicek85.7%6 of 7
AwayHeuman100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Travnicek7Heuman3n = 10Travnicek took 7 of 10
S2Travnicek4Heuman6n = 10Heuman took 6 of 10
S3Travnicek6Heuman4n = 10Travnicek took 6 of 10
S4Travnicek4Heuman5n = 9Heuman took 5 of 9
S5Travnicek2Heuman1n = 3Travnicek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTravnicekHeumanT − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.441.2+2.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekHeumanBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 392 vs 191 / 38849.5%49.2%194 / 392 vs 191 / 388Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TravnicekTravnicek 1.67/Heuman 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Travnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Heuman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 20:15J. Travnicek—11711123I. Heuman—3119101
WAug 28 · 19:15J. Travnicek—11128113I. Heuman—5101171
LAug 25 · 19:10J. Travnicek—115881I. Heuman—71111113
WAug 24 · 18:10J. Travnicek—1210912113I. Heuman—1012111082
WAug 21 · 21:10J. Travnicek—1112113I. Heuman—71080
LAug 21 · 17:40J. Travnicek—1771181I. Heuman—19118113
WAug 17 · 21:05J. Travnicek—1114910113I. Heuman—612111242
LAug 17 · 19:10J. Travnicek—811116102I. Heuman—116911123
LAug 14 · 18:15J. Travnicek—9191291I. Heuman—112110113
WAug 8 · 20:39J. Travnicek—11511113I. Heuman—811871
J. Travnicek10
LSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991WSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462WSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:10M. Macurak1.7311101112153J. Travnicek2.00312614132WSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110LSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590LSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113WSep 2 · 20:15I. Heuman2.003119101J. Travnicek1.7311711123LSep 2 · 19:15J. Travnicek1.571457131A. Cizek2.25121111153
I. Heuman10
LSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113LSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132WSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162WSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110WSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161LSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113LSep 2 · 20:15I. Heuman2.003119101J. Travnicek1.7311711123WSep 2 · 18:45D. Skulina1.83101112482I. Heuman1.831281011113
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