TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063864
Played Sep 2Finished
Jakub Travnicek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
14125117111315––
Ales Cizek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:22 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Travnicek to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · Ales Cizek below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 13-15
Point 88 set 4, 13-15 — our read held Jakub Travnicek at 62.9%
88 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 15–8 Ales Cizek Ales Cizek has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:22What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Travnicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-8 in 23
Travnicek
Wrong
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Travnicek 1602 vs Cizek 1519
Travnicek
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Travnicek 80% vs Cizek 0%
Travnicek
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Travnicek 90% vs Cizek 10%
Travnicek
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Travnicek +3 · Cizek -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Travnicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cizek form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 1.57 / Cizek 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Travnicek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13063864
Travnicek1.57
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite43% won 36 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it71% 27 of 38
Cizek2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog41% won 70 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back17% 16 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTravnicek7wins
AwayCizek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTravnicek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTravnicek83.3%5 of 6
AwayCizek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Travnicek6Cizek4n = 10Travnicek took 6 of 10
S2Travnicek5Cizek5n = 10split evenly
S3Travnicek7Cizek3n = 10Travnicek took 7 of 10
S4Travnicek1Cizek6n = 7Cizek took 6 of 7
S5Travnicek4Cizek0n = 4Travnicek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTravnicekCizekT − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.635.9+1.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekCizekBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 391 vs 218 / 45349.4%48.1%193 / 391 vs 218 / 453Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TravnicekTravnicek 1.57/Cizek 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Travnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 19:40J. Travnicek—1111123A. Cizek—77100
WAug 6 · 20:50J. Travnicek—611119113A. Cizek—11591172
WAug 6 · 18:45J. Travnicek—911115113A. Cizek—11591112
WAug 3 · 20:33J. Travnicek—11311113A. Cizek—811191
WAug 3 · 19:40J. Travnicek—1211113A. Cizek—10390
LAug 1 · 21:08J. Travnicek—115551A. Cizek—51111113
LAug 1 · 20:10J. Travnicek—71090A. Cizek—1112113
LJul 11 · 09:25J. Travnicek—7101151A. Cizek—11128113
WJul 11 · 08:15J. Travnicek—111286133A. Cizek—2101111112
WJul 7 · 19:10J. Travnicek—114113133A. Cizek—711511112
J. Travnicek10
LSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991WSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462WSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:10M. Macurak1.7311101112153J. Travnicek2.00312614132WSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110LSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590LSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113LSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek1.6761070I. Heuman2.101112113WSep 2 · 20:15I. Heuman2.003119101J. Travnicek1.7311711123
A. Cizek10
WSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113LSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670LSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162LSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113LSep 4 · 08:48A. Cizek1.5381341242L. Lasota2.3811111110113WSep 4 · 07:45A. Cizek1.80911711113L. Lasota1.9111611472LSep 4 · 06:45A. Cizek2.001112491T. Kindl1.7381411113WSep 4 · 05:45A. Cizek2.1011611113L. Dzida1.67811851LSep 2 · 20:48D. Skulina1.671311113A. Cizek2.1011480LSep 2 · 19:45D. Skulina2.101111123A. Cizek1.6749100
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