TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076546
Played Sep 4Finished
Ales Cizek
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81113114111210411
Laurent Lasota
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingAles Cizek above · Laurent Lasota below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 95 set 5, 4-11
95 points played in total.
H2H Ales Cizek 3–0 Laurent Lasota Laurent Lasota has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Cizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cizek form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCizek 1.53 / Lasota 2.38
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Cizek)-2.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13076546
Cizek1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 51 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Lasota2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog54% won 45 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back32% 15 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeCizek3wins
AwayLasota0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderCizek leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cizek1Lasota2n = 3Lasota took 2 of 3
S2Cizek3Lasota0n = 3Cizek took 3 of 3
S3Cizek1Lasota2n = 3Lasota took 2 of 3
S4Cizek3Lasota0n = 3Cizek took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricCizekLasotaC − LBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match43.333.7+9.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCizekLasotaBasisWin rate · lifetime220 / 457 vs 134 / 26948.1%49.8%220 / 457 vs 134 / 269Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CizekCizek 1.53/Lasota 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Cizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lasota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 4 · 07:45A. Cizek—911711113L. Lasota—11611472
WMar 10 · 17:33A. Cizek—51211113L. Lasota—1110841
WMar 10 · 16:40A. Cizek—11119113L. Lasota—471171
A. Cizek10
WSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113LSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670LSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162LSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113WSep 4 · 07:45A. Cizek1.80911711113L. Lasota1.9111611472LSep 4 · 06:45A. Cizek2.001112491T. Kindl1.7381411113WSep 4 · 05:45A. Cizek2.1011611113L. Dzida1.67811851LSep 2 · 20:48D. Skulina1.671311113A. Cizek2.1011480LSep 2 · 19:45D. Skulina2.101111123A. Cizek1.6749100WSep 2 · 19:15J. Travnicek1.571457131A. Cizek2.25121111153
L. Lasota10
LSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113LSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 16:10T. Molin1.83111149113L. Lasota1.8357111172LSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota1.91911991L. Dzida1.8011711113LSep 6 · 13:40T. Kindl1.671111113L. Lasota2.107850LSep 4 · 07:45A. Cizek1.80911711113L. Lasota1.9111611472LSep 4 · 07:15L. Dzida1.61101111113L. Lasota2.20128841LSep 4 · 06:15L. Lasota2.101011781T. Kindl1.6712711113WAug 28 · 13:05L. Lasota1.80911511123L. Kantor1.91115114102
Upcoming Matches
A. Cizek
Nothing scheduled
L. Lasota
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