TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063521
Played Sep 2Finished
David Skulina
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141191210––––
Ales Cizek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:59 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeDavid Skulina to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Skulina above · Ales Cizek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 57 set 3, 12-10 — our read held David Skulina at 56.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H David Skulina 1–2 Ales Cizek David Skulina has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:59What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Cizek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skulina 1561 vs Cizek 1532
Skulina
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skulina 20% vs Cizek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skulina 40% vs Cizek 20%
Skulina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skulina -3 · Cizek +1
Skulina
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cizek) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cizek form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkulina 2.10 / Cizek 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skulina)+1.8pp
TT Cup · #13063521
Skulina2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 16 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Cizek1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 51 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSkulina1wins
AwayCizek2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderCizek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkulinan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayCizek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skulina0Cizek3n = 3Cizek took 3 of 3
S2Skulina1Cizek2n = 3Cizek took 2 of 3
S3Skulina1Cizek2n = 3Cizek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricSkulinaCizekS − CBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match32.739.0−6.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkulinaCizekBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 131 vs 218 / 45248.9%48.2%64 / 131 vs 218 / 452Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CizekSkulina 2.10/Cizek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skulina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 24 · 17:45D. Skulina—71090A. Cizek—1112113
WJul 6 · 21:15D. Skulina—5111412113A. Cizek—117121462
LJul 6 · 17:45D. Skulina—6760A. Cizek—1111113
D. Skulina10
WSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123LSep 6 · 19:40D. Skulina1.6711119492M. Macurak2.10771111113LSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 17:40D. Skulina1.50101331182P. Marsalek2.501211117113WSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131LSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161WSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681LSep 4 · 16:15D. Skulina1.6196100K. Kleprlik2.201111123
A. Cizek10
WSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113LSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670LSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162LSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113LSep 4 · 08:48A. Cizek1.5381341242L. Lasota2.3811111110113WSep 4 · 07:45A. Cizek1.80911711113L. Lasota1.9111611472LSep 4 · 06:45A. Cizek2.001112491T. Kindl1.7381411113WSep 4 · 05:45A. Cizek2.1011611113L. Dzida1.67811851LSep 2 · 20:48D. Skulina1.671311113A. Cizek2.1011480WSep 2 · 19:15J. Travnicek1.571457131A. Cizek2.25121111153
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