TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073948
Played Sep 4Finished
Ales Cizek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1181214411911––
Tomas Kindl
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:12 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Kindl to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Cizek above · Tomas Kindl below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 80 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Kindl at 54.1%
80 points played in total.
H2H Ales Cizek 9–11 Tomas Kindl Ales Cizek has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:12What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kindl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-11 in 20
Kindl
Correct
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cizek 1498 vs Kindl 1557
Kindl
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cizek 40% vs Kindl 60%
Kindl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cizek 20% vs Kindl 70%
Kindl
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cizek +1 · Kindl +3
Kindl
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kindl) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCizek 2.00 / Kindl 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Kindl)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13073948
Cizek2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 73 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 52
Kindl1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 61 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it69% 38 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCizek4wins
AwayKindl6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKindl leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCizek66.7%4 of 6
AwayKindl100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cizek6Kindl4n = 10Cizek took 6 of 10
S2Cizek6Kindl4n = 10Cizek took 6 of 10
S3Cizek5Kindl5n = 10split evenly
S4Cizek1Kindl7n = 8Kindl took 7 of 8
S5Cizek2Kindl2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCizekKindlC − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.139.7−0.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCizekKindlBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 462 vs 198 / 39447.8%50.3%221 / 462 vs 198 / 394Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.741.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KindlCizek 2.00/Kindl 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Kindl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kindl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 06:45A. Cizek—1112491T. Kindl—81411113
LSep 1 · 09:40A. Cizek—1111139132T. Kindl—141511153
LAug 13 · 20:15A. Cizek—811831T. Kindl—11811113
WAug 2 · 14:45A. Cizek—1111113T. Kindl—5580
WAug 1 · 18:10A. Cizek—126115113T. Kindl—101161172
WAug 1 · 15:40A. Cizek—1112143T. Kindl—310120
LJul 19 · 20:10A. Cizek—21151252T. Kindl—1191110113
LJul 4 · 17:45A. Cizek—571181T. Kindl—11113113
WJul 1 · 06:40A. Cizek—111185123T. Kindl—281111102
LJun 17 · 18:10A. Cizek—51311111T. Kindl—11159133
A. Cizek10
WSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113LSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670LSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162LSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113LSep 4 · 08:48A. Cizek1.5381341242L. Lasota2.3811111110113WSep 4 · 07:45A. Cizek1.80911711113L. Lasota1.9111611472WSep 4 · 05:45A. Cizek2.1011611113L. Dzida1.67811851LSep 2 · 20:48D. Skulina1.671311113A. Cizek2.1011480LSep 2 · 19:45D. Skulina2.101111123A. Cizek1.6749100WSep 2 · 19:15J. Travnicek1.571457131A. Cizek2.25121111153
T. Kindl10
WSep 6 · 17:15T. Molin1.917128101T. Kindl1.80111011123WSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882LSep 6 · 14:40T. Kindl1.91813111192T. Molin1.801111913113WSep 6 · 13:40T. Kindl1.671111113L. Lasota2.107850WSep 4 · 09:20T. Kindl2.001111911113L. Dzida1.7313611592LSep 4 · 08:15T. Kindl1.91812791L. Dzida1.80111011113WSep 4 · 06:15L. Lasota2.101011781T. Kindl1.6712711113WSep 3 · 08:40T. Kindl—11911113L. Dzida—911991WSep 3 · 08:10T. Kindl2.0011116113L. Dzida1.73681191LSep 3 · 06:40D. Pawlik1.801111123T. Kindl1.9154100
Upcoming Matches
A. Cizek
Nothing scheduled
T. Kindl
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