TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073905
Played Sep 4Finished
Ales Cizek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911116711114117
Laurent Lasota
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLaurent Lasota to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAles Cizek above · Laurent Lasota below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 88 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Laurent Lasota at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Ales Cizek 2–0 Laurent Lasota Laurent Lasota has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Cizek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cizek 1499 vs Lasota 1538
Lasota
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cizek 40% vs Lasota 60%
Lasota
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cizek 20% vs Lasota 60%
Lasota
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cizek -1 · Lasota -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lasota)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cizek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCizek 1.80 / Lasota 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lasota)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13073905
Cizek1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 51 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Lasota1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 45 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back32% 15 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeCizek2wins
AwayLasota0wins
Cizek leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricCizekLasotaC − LBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.531.0+9.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCizekLasotaBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 456 vs 134 / 26848%50%219 / 456 vs 134 / 268Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LasotaCizek 1.80/Lasota 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lasota · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMar 10 · 17:33A. Cizek—51211113L. Lasota—1110841
WMar 10 · 16:40A. Cizek—11119113L. Lasota—471171
A. Cizek10
WSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113LSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670LSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162LSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113LSep 4 · 08:48A. Cizek1.5381341242L. Lasota2.3811111110113LSep 4 · 06:45A. Cizek2.001112491T. Kindl1.7381411113WSep 4 · 05:45A. Cizek2.1011611113L. Dzida1.67811851LSep 2 · 20:48D. Skulina1.671311113A. Cizek2.1011480LSep 2 · 19:45D. Skulina2.101111123A. Cizek1.6749100WSep 2 · 19:15J. Travnicek1.571457131A. Cizek2.25121111153
L. Lasota10
LSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113LSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 16:10T. Molin1.83111149113L. Lasota1.8357111172LSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota1.91911991L. Dzida1.8011711113LSep 6 · 13:40T. Kindl1.671111113L. Lasota2.107850WSep 4 · 08:48A. Cizek1.5381341242L. Lasota2.3811111110113LSep 4 · 07:15L. Dzida1.61101111113L. Lasota2.20128841LSep 4 · 06:15L. Lasota2.101011781T. Kindl1.6712711113WAug 28 · 13:05L. Lasota1.80911511123L. Kantor1.91115114102
Upcoming Matches
A. Cizek
Nothing scheduled
L. Lasota
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.