TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089654
Played Sep 7Finished
Bruno Mrowetz
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611611114115116
Laurent Lasota
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:51 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeBruno Mrowetz to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Laurent Lasota below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 82 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Bruno Mrowetz at 57.7%
82 points played in total.
H2H Bruno Mrowetz 6–1 Laurent Lasota Laurent Lasota has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:51What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Mrowetz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Mrowetz
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrowetz 1702 vs Lasota 1481
Mrowetz
Correct
both rated, 222 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrowetz 80% vs Lasota 20%
Mrowetz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrowetz 90% vs Lasota 30%
Mrowetz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrowetz +4 · Lasota +1
Mrowetz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Mrowetz) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lasota form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrowetz 1.61 / Lasota 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Mrowetz)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13089654
Mrowetz1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 76 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it79% 57 of 72
Lasota2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 46 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMrowetz6wins
AwayLasota1wins
4 of 7 to a deciderMrowetz leads 6–1, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrowetz100%3 of 3
AwayLasota25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrowetz3Lasota4n = 7Lasota took 4 of 7
S2Mrowetz3Lasota4n = 7Lasota took 4 of 7
S3Mrowetz7Lasota0n = 7Mrowetz took 7 of 7
S4Mrowetz4Lasota2n = 6Mrowetz took 4 of 6
S5Mrowetz3Lasota1n = 4Mrowetz took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricMrowetzLasotaM − LBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match42.936.9+6.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrowetzLasotaBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 474 vs 136 / 27650.4%49.3%239 / 474 vs 136 / 276Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrowetzMrowetz 1.61/Lasota 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Mrowetz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz—661111113L. Lasota—11114562
WApr 9 · 08:45B. Mrowetz—111111113L. Lasota—132671
WApr 9 · 08:15B. Mrowetz—1111123L. Lasota—66100
WApr 8 · 05:45B. Mrowetz—971111113L. Lasota—11118992
WApr 5 · 07:10B. Mrowetz—116128113L. Lasota—111101192
WApr 4 · 13:25B. Mrowetz—13611113L. Lasota—1111781
LApr 4 · 10:45B. Mrowetz—81111182L. Lasota—112911113
B. Mrowetz10
WSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580WSep 5 · 09:16B. Mrowetz1.831181112133M. Macurak1.831311110112WSep 5 · 07:45M. Macurak1.6111541162B. Mrowetz2.20911118113WSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 06:15B. Mrowetz1.4411116982D. Pawlik2.63831111113WSep 3 · 13:15B. Mrowetz1.441112113D. Pawlik2.6351060WSep 3 · 11:40J. Krupnik1.83116641B. Mrowetz1.8391111113WSep 3 · 11:10L. Kantor2.25651181B. Mrowetz1.5711117113WSep 3 · 10:10B. Mrowetz1.731211113D. Pawlik2.0010250WSep 3 · 09:14D. Jr1.444147101B. Mrowetz2.63111211123
L. Lasota10
WSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113LSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 16:10T. Molin1.83111149113L. Lasota1.8357111172LSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota1.91911991L. Dzida1.8011711113LSep 6 · 13:40T. Kindl1.671111113L. Lasota2.107850WSep 4 · 08:48A. Cizek1.5381341242L. Lasota2.3811111110113LSep 4 · 07:45A. Cizek1.80911711113L. Lasota1.9111611472LSep 4 · 07:15L. Dzida1.61101111113L. Lasota2.20128841LSep 4 · 06:15L. Lasota2.101011781T. Kindl1.6712711113WAug 28 · 13:05L. Lasota1.80911511123L. Kantor1.91115114102
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