TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13070521
Played Sep 3Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
41114127111012––
Bruno Mrowetz
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Bruno Mrowetz below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 81 set 4, 10-12
81 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 10–8 Bruno Mrowetz Bruno Mrowetz has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrowetz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.44 / Mrowetz 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Jr)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13070521
Jr1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 83 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it86% 38 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it66% 61 of 92
Mrowetz2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 72 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr6wins
AwayMrowetz4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr83.3%5 of 6
AwayMrowetz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr6Mrowetz4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Jr6Mrowetz4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Jr5Mrowetz5n = 10split evenly
S4Jr5Mrowetz1n = 6Jr took 5 of 6
S5Jr2Mrowetz3n = 5Mrowetz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrMrowetzJ − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.137.9+3.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrMrowetzBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 494 vs 229 / 46351%49.5%252 / 494 vs 229 / 463Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.44/Mrowetz 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 22 · 07:10D. Jr—1314123B. Mrowetz—1112100
WJul 5 · 20:45D. Jr—1111143B. Mrowetz—68120
WJul 5 · 20:10D. Jr—1011911113B. Mrowetz—12311372
LJul 5 · 16:10D. Jr—61161162B. Mrowetz—115119113
LJun 16 · 09:40D. Jr—12990B. Mrowetz—1411113
WJun 12 · 11:45D. Jr—1111113B. Mrowetz—4580
LJun 10 · 09:15D. Jr—13911772B. Mrowetz—1111811113
WJun 10 · 06:45D. Jr—11911123B. Mrowetz—8117101
LMay 14 · 10:40D. Jr—711911122B. Mrowetz—119119143
WMay 5 · 07:45D. Jr—113511113B. Mrowetz—61111862
D. Jr10
LSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113WSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113WSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390LSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102LSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123WSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890LSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181WSep 4 · 08:40J. Skvrna1.5776100D. Jr2.251111123LSep 4 · 08:10M. Macurak1.8051111113D. Jr1.91116471
B. Mrowetz10
LSep 7 · 07:40B. Mrowetz1.5011811772D. Pawlik2.50911711113WSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580WSep 5 · 09:16B. Mrowetz1.831181112133M. Macurak1.831311110112WSep 5 · 07:45M. Macurak1.6111541162B. Mrowetz2.20911118113WSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 06:15B. Mrowetz1.4411116982D. Pawlik2.63831111113WSep 3 · 13:15B. Mrowetz1.441112113D. Pawlik2.6351060WSep 3 · 11:40J. Krupnik1.83116641B. Mrowetz1.8391111113WSep 3 · 11:10L. Kantor2.25651181B. Mrowetz1.5711117113
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