TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086636
Played Sep 6Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
1.98
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511911––––
Tomas Krenek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:51 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 55.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 14–22 Tomas Krenek Dalibor Velky Jr has won 14 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:51What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Krenek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-22 in 36
Krenek
Correct
gap of 8 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1625 vs Krenek 1646
Krenek
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 60% vs Krenek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 40% vs Krenek 60%
Krenek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +2 · Krenek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krenek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.98 / Krenek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krenek)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13086636
Jr1.98
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 119 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back31% 35 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 50
Krenek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 125 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it74% 83 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr4wins
AwayKrenek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKrenek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr50%2 of 4
AwayKrenek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr4Krenek6n = 10Krenek took 6 of 10
S2Jr6Krenek4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Jr6Krenek4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Jr4Krenek4n = 8split evenly
S5Jr1Krenek4n = 5Krenek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrKrenekJ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.141.3−0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 506 vs 446 / 88350.6%50.5%256 / 506 vs 446 / 883Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekJr 1.98/Krenek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 05:45D. Jr—951113102T. Krenek—1111811123
LSep 3 · 06:45D. Jr—121151152T. Krenek—149118113
LSep 2 · 06:45D. Jr—1112881T. Krenek—61411113
WAug 31 · 06:40D. Jr—91111113T. Krenek—116961
LAug 21 · 13:14D. Jr—10590T. Krenek—1211113
WAug 21 · 12:15D. Jr—81111113T. Krenek—115491
WAug 7 · 10:10D. Jr—121485113T. Krenek—1012111182
LAug 7 · 09:24D. Jr—101112672T. Krenek—1241011113
LAug 7 · 06:40D. Jr—11713672T. Krenek—6111111113
WAug 6 · 12:53D. Jr—1111113T. Krenek—9470
D. Jr10
WSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113WSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390LSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102LSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123WSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890LSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181WSep 4 · 08:40J. Skvrna1.5776100D. Jr2.251111123LSep 4 · 08:10M. Macurak1.8051111113D. Jr1.91116471LSep 4 · 07:10D. Jr2.2013311101J. Krupnik1.6115118123
T. Krenek10
WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092WSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142LSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133WSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112WSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102WSep 3 · 08:44R. Benes1.919790T. Krenek1.801111113LSep 3 · 07:45T. Krenek2.00411100R. Benes1.731113123WSep 3 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73149118113D. Jr2.00121151152
Upcoming Matches
D. Jr
T. Krenek
Nothing scheduled
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