TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13070427
Played Sep 3Finished
Radek Benes
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711911––––
Tomas Krenek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRadek Benes above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11
58 points played in total.
H2H Radek Benes 68–64 Tomas Krenek Tomas Krenek has won 64 of their 132 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krenek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenes 1.91 / Krenek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krenek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13070427
Benes1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 83 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back29% 27 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Krenek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 123 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it91% 49 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it73% 81 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBenes6wins
AwayKrenek4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBenes leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBenes62.5%5 of 8
AwayKrenekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Benes8Krenek2n = 10Benes took 8 of 10
S2Benes4Krenek6n = 10Krenek took 6 of 10
S3Benes6Krenek4n = 10Benes took 6 of 10
S4Benes4Krenek5n = 9Krenek took 5 of 9
S5Benes3Krenek3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBenesKrenekB − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match45.944.3+1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenesKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 920 vs 443 / 87952.4%50.4%482 / 920 vs 443 / 879Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekBenes 1.91/Krenek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 07:45R. Benes—11791182T. Krenek—811117113
WAug 31 · 09:40R. Benes—12911113T. Krenek—1011981
WAug 31 · 07:40R. Benes—1111163T. Krenek—99140
WAug 25 · 10:10R. Benes—1110126113T. Krenek—412101192
WAug 25 · 06:40R. Benes—913116113T. Krenek—111181152
LAug 10 · 13:20R. Benes—11811792T. Krenek—911611113
LAug 10 · 11:10R. Benes—10137121T. Krenek—121111143
WAug 10 · 07:40R. Benes—177116113T. Krenek—151191192
LAug 6 · 10:10R. Benes—1110912122T. Krenek—7121110143
WAug 6 · 06:40R. Benes—11115113T. Krenek—581141
R. Benes10
WSep 3 · 07:45T. Krenek2.00411100R. Benes1.731113123LSep 3 · 07:15B. Mrowetz1.801111113R. Benes1.915860LSep 3 · 06:15R. Benes1.83661141D. Jr1.8311119113LSep 2 · 13:15T. Krenek1.91159118113R. Benes1.80131161152WSep 2 · 12:15R. Benes1.8391112113B. Mrowetz1.831161081WSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:15T. Krenek1.9112811133R. Benes1.8010119111LSep 2 · 08:45D. Jr1.831111113R. Benes1.837790LSep 2 · 07:45T. Krenek1.73811117113R. Benes2.0011791182WSep 2 · 07:15D. Pawlik2.109116141R. Benes1.6711311163
T. Krenek10
WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092WSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113LSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133LSep 3 · 07:45T. Krenek2.00411100R. Benes1.731113123WSep 2 · 13:15T. Krenek1.91159118113R. Benes1.80131161152WSep 2 · 10:15T. Krenek1.9112811133R. Benes1.8010119111WSep 2 · 07:45T. Krenek1.73811117113R. Benes2.0011791182
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