TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063186
Played Sep 2Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117119––––
Radek Benes
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Radek Benes below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 56 set 3, 11-9
56 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 20–20 Radek Benes Dead even across their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.83 / Benes 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Benes)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13063186
Jr1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Benes1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr4wins
AwayBenes6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderBenes leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr50%4 of 8
AwayBenesn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr8Benes2n = 10Jr took 8 of 10
S2Jr6Benes4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Jr4Benes6n = 10Benes took 6 of 10
S4Jr3Benes6n = 9Benes took 6 of 9
S5Jr2Benes5n = 7Benes took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrBenesJ − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match45.546.0−0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 490 vs 479 / 91250.8%52.5%249 / 490 vs 479 / 912Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesJr 1.83/Benes 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 06:15D. Jr—117118113R. Benes—51181182
LAug 31 · 09:10D. Jr—11571162R. Benes—911119113
LAug 31 · 06:10D. Jr—11159592R. Benes—9131111113
LAug 29 · 17:30D. Jr—18710101R. Benes—161112123
WAug 29 · 13:45D. Jr—11118113R. Benes—891191
LAug 13 · 13:20D. Jr—1011141192R. Benes—122167113
WAug 13 · 10:15D. Jr—111159113R. Benes—68111182
LAug 13 · 06:45D. Jr—13911992R. Benes—1111811113
WAug 11 · 06:10D. Jr—1111113R. Benes—7990
LAug 6 · 12:10D. Jr—121111752R. Benes—149911113
D. Jr10
LSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113WSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113WSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390LSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102LSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123WSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890LSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181WSep 4 · 08:40J. Skvrna1.5776100D. Jr2.251111123LSep 4 · 08:10M. Macurak1.8051111113D. Jr1.91116471
R. Benes10
LSep 3 · 08:44R. Benes1.919790T. Krenek1.801111113WSep 3 · 07:45T. Krenek2.00411100R. Benes1.731113123LSep 3 · 07:15B. Mrowetz1.801111113R. Benes1.915860LSep 3 · 06:15R. Benes1.83661141D. Jr1.8311119113LSep 2 · 13:15T. Krenek1.91159118113R. Benes1.80131161152WSep 2 · 12:15R. Benes1.8391112113B. Mrowetz1.831161081WSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113LSep 2 · 10:15T. Krenek1.9112811133R. Benes1.8010119111LSep 2 · 07:45T. Krenek1.73811117113R. Benes2.0011791182WSep 2 · 07:15D. Pawlik2.109116141R. Benes1.6711311163
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