TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084478
Played Sep 6Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118113119––––
Lukas Slavik
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:39 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeLukas Slavik to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Lukas Slavik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 53 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Lukas Slavik at 59.8%
53 points played in total.
H2H Dalibor Velky Jr 4–6 Lukas Slavik Dalibor Velky Jr has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Slavik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Slavik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1603 vs Slavik 1648
Slavik
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 20% vs Slavik 60%
Slavik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 20% vs Slavik 70%
Slavik
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -2 · Slavik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Slavik) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.10 / Slavik 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Slavik)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13084478
Jr2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 120 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back30% 35 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 52
Slavik1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 41 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr4wins
AwaySlavik6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSlavik leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr66.7%2 of 3
AwaySlavik71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr3Slavik7n = 10Slavik took 7 of 10
S2Jr2Slavik8n = 10Slavik took 8 of 10
S3Jr5Slavik5n = 10split evenly
S4Jr3Slavik2n = 5Jr took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrSlavikJ − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.435.1−1.7per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrSlavikBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 507 vs 109 / 20950.5%52.2%256 / 507 vs 109 / 209Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlavikJr 2.10/Slavik 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Slavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr—1111113L. Slavik—8390
WAug 20 · 09:15D. Jr—991111113L. Slavik—11111882
LAug 20 · 06:15D. Jr—971181L. Slavik—11119113
LJun 14 · 14:15D. Jr—84100L. Slavik—1111123
WJun 11 · 09:20D. Jr—81111143L. Slavik—1166121
LJun 11 · 06:15D. Jr—98110L. Slavik—1111133
LJun 3 · 10:15D. Jr—117851L. Slavik—91111113
WJun 3 · 09:15D. Jr—11911113L. Slavik—911791
LJun 3 · 08:15D. Jr—11980L. Slavik—1311113
LMar 24 · 10:40D. Jr—5690L. Slavik—1111113
D. Jr10
LSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113WSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113LSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102LSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123WSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890LSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181WSep 4 · 08:40J. Skvrna1.5776100D. Jr2.251111123LSep 4 · 08:10M. Macurak1.8051111113D. Jr1.91116471LSep 4 · 07:10D. Jr2.2013311101J. Krupnik1.6115118123
L. Slavik10
LSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113LSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 08:50L. Slavik1.611613113D. Pawlik2.20141110WSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133WSep 6 · 06:15L. Slavik1.61111195113D. Pawlik2.2088111182LSep 1 · 13:15L. Slavik2.14116791J. Skvrna1.5881111113LSep 1 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111011133L. Slavik2.107128111WSep 1 · 11:15R. Sedlacek1.68651141L. Slavik1.9811118113
Upcoming Matches
D. Jr
L. Slavik
Nothing scheduled
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