TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084799
Played Sep 6Finished
Lukas Slavik
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119119––––
Erik Precek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Slavik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Slavik above · Erik Precek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Lukas Slavik at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Slavik 3–3 Erik Precek Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:58What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Slavik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slavik 1672 vs Precek 1550
Slavik
Correct
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slavik 60% vs Precek 40%
Slavik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slavik 60% vs Precek 30%
Slavik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slavik +1 · Precek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slavik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Precek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlavik 1.80 / Precek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Slavik)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13084799
Slavik1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 38 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Precek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 66 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSlavik3wins
AwayPrecek3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlavik66.7%2 of 3
AwayPrecek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slavik3Precek3n = 6split evenly
S2Slavik3Precek3n = 6split evenly
S3Slavik5Precek1n = 6Slavik took 5 of 6
S4Slavik3Precek2n = 5Slavik took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSlavikPrecekS − PBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match37.337.8−0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlavikPrecekBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 208 vs 212 / 45352.4%46.8%109 / 208 vs 212 / 453Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlavikSlavik 1.80/Precek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Slavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Slavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik—1111113E. Precek—6990
LJul 9 · 06:15L. Slavik—75111232E. Precek—1111610113
WJul 6 · 16:45L. Slavik—11114113E. Precek—761181
LJul 6 · 14:45L. Slavik—115117102E. Precek—711611123
WJun 15 · 09:10L. Slavik—91311113E. Precek—1111861
LJun 15 · 07:40L. Slavik—461171E. Precek—11116113
L. Slavik10
LSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113LSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 08:50L. Slavik1.611613113D. Pawlik2.20141110WSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133LSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390WSep 6 · 06:15L. Slavik1.61111195113D. Pawlik2.2088111182LSep 1 · 13:15L. Slavik2.14116791J. Skvrna1.5881111113LSep 1 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111011133L. Slavik2.107128111WSep 1 · 11:15R. Sedlacek1.68651141L. Slavik1.9811118113
E. Precek10
WSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113WSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092LSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071LSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261WSep 5 · 12:15M. Macurak1.618770E. Precek2.201111113LSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LAug 30 · 08:49L. Dzida2.201111113E. Precek1.616870LAug 30 · 07:45E. Precek1.8011613111D. Vitasek1.9181115133LAug 30 · 06:45E. Precek2.20114861K. Kleprlik1.6191111113
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