TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084499
Played Sep 6Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11751110121113––
Lukas Slavik
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Lukas Slavik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 80 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 4–4 Lukas Slavik Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krenek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1659 vs Slavik 1603
Krenek
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 80% vs Slavik 40%
Krenek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 70% vs Slavik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek +3 · Slavik -1
Krenek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krenek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.73 / Slavik 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krenek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13084499
Krenek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 125 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it74% 83 of 113
Slavik2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 42 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back34% 14 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKrenek4wins
AwaySlavik4wins
3 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrenek60%3 of 5
AwaySlavik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek5Slavik3n = 8Krenek took 5 of 8
S2Krenek4Slavik4n = 8split evenly
S3Krenek3Slavik5n = 8Slavik took 5 of 8
S4Krenek2Slavik4n = 6Slavik took 4 of 6
S5Krenek2Slavik1n = 3Krenek took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKrenekSlavikK − SBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match40.039.8+0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekSlavikBasisWin rate · lifetime446 / 882 vs 105 / 20350.6%51.7%446 / 882 vs 105 / 203Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlavikKrenek 1.73/Slavik 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJul 16 · 07:10T. Krenek—121157113L. Slavik—106111162
WJul 13 · 08:50T. Krenek—981111123L. Slavik—111185102
LJul 13 · 07:15T. Krenek—11910101L. Slavik—61112123
WJul 11 · 10:15T. Krenek—11136113L. Slavik—7111181
LJun 16 · 06:40T. Krenek—811117122L. Slavik—118711143
LMar 10 · 18:05T. Krenek—1191191L. Slavik—91113113
LMar 10 · 17:10T. Krenek—6660L. Slavik—1111113
WFeb 24 · 12:10T. Krenek—1113113L. Slavik—51170
T. Krenek10
WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092WSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113WSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112WSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102WSep 3 · 08:44R. Benes1.919790T. Krenek1.801111113LSep 3 · 07:45T. Krenek2.00411100R. Benes1.731113123WSep 3 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73149118113D. Jr2.00121151152
L. Slavik10
LSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113LSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 08:50L. Slavik1.611613113D. Pawlik2.20141110LSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390WSep 6 · 06:15L. Slavik1.61111195113D. Pawlik2.2088111182LSep 1 · 13:15L. Slavik2.14116791J. Skvrna1.5881111113LSep 1 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111011133L. Slavik2.107128111WSep 1 · 11:15R. Sedlacek1.68651141L. Slavik1.9811118113
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