TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058199
Played Sep 1Finished
Jan Skvrna
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11710121181311––
Lukas Slavik
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:54 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Slavik to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Lukas Slavik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 83 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Lukas Slavik at 59.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 2–1 Lukas Slavik Lukas Slavik has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:54What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skvrna
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvrna 1646 vs Slavik 1629
Skvrna
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvrna 40% vs Slavik 80%
Slavik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvrna 50% vs Slavik 80%
Slavik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvrna -1 · Slavik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slavik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.67 / Slavik 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Skvrna)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13058199
Skvrna1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 221 of 378
Up 2–0, closes it96% 75 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it74% 156 of 212
Slavik2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 41 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back35% 14 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSkvrna2wins
AwaySlavik1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSkvrna leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna2Slavik1n = 3Skvrna took 2 of 3
S2Skvrna1Slavik2n = 3Slavik took 2 of 3
S3Skvrna2Slavik1n = 3Skvrna took 2 of 3
S4Skvrna1Slavik2n = 3Slavik took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSkvrnaSlavikSkvrna − SlavikBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match43.333.7+9.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaSlavikBasisWin rate · lifetime444 / 767 vs 104 / 19957.9%52.3%444 / 767 vs 104 / 199Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.67/Slavik 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skvrna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 2 · 13:40J. Skvrna—119119113L. Slavik—51141122
LJun 15 · 12:35J. Skvrna—812891L. Slavik—111011113
WJun 15 · 09:40J. Skvrna—11911113L. Slavik—611261
J. Skvrna10
LSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113WSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071WSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113WSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152LSep 5 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.6171180M. Macurak2.201113113WSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681WSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113
L. Slavik10
LSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113LSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 08:50L. Slavik1.611613113D. Pawlik2.20141110WSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133LSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390WSep 6 · 06:15L. Slavik1.61111195113D. Pawlik2.2088111182LSep 1 · 13:15L. Slavik2.14116791J. Skvrna1.5881111113WSep 1 · 11:15R. Sedlacek1.68651141L. Slavik1.9811118113
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