TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084684
Played Sep 6Finished
Jan Skvrna
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
311114911119811
Lukas Slavik
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:37 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Lukas Slavik below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 88 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 58.9%
88 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 4–2 Lukas Slavik Lukas Slavik has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:37What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skvrna
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Skvrna
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvrna 1671 vs Slavik 1650
Skvrna
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvrna 80% vs Slavik 60%
Skvrna
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvrna 60% vs Slavik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvrna +3 · Slavik -1
Skvrna
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slavik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.57 / Slavik 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Skvrna)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13084684
Skvrna1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 228 of 386
Up 2–0, closes it96% 77 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it74% 160 of 216
Slavik2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 42 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back34% 14 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSkvrna4wins
AwaySlavik2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSkvrna leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvrna100%3 of 3
AwaySlavik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna3Slavik3n = 6split evenly
S2Skvrna3Slavik3n = 6split evenly
S3Skvrna4Slavik2n = 6Skvrna took 4 of 6
S4Skvrna4Slavik2n = 6Skvrna took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSkvrnaSlavikSkvrna − SlavikBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match43.036.3+6.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaSlavikBasisWin rate · lifetime454 / 783 vs 108 / 20758%52.2%454 / 783 vs 108 / 207Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.57/Slavik 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna—31191182L. Slavik—114119113
WSep 1 · 13:15J. Skvrna—81111113L. Slavik—116791
WSep 1 · 11:45J. Skvrna—111011133L. Slavik—7128111
WJul 2 · 13:40J. Skvrna—119119113L. Slavik—51141122
LJun 15 · 12:35J. Skvrna—812891L. Slavik—111011113
WJun 15 · 09:40J. Skvrna—11911113L. Slavik—611261
J. Skvrna10
LSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123WSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071WSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113WSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152LSep 5 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.6171180M. Macurak2.201113113WSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681WSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113WSep 4 · 15:15K. Kleprlik1.8381111682J. Skvrna1.83115911113
L. Slavik10
LSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990LSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 08:50L. Slavik1.611613113D. Pawlik2.20141110WSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133LSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390WSep 6 · 06:15L. Slavik1.61111195113D. Pawlik2.2088111182LSep 1 · 13:15L. Slavik2.14116791J. Skvrna1.5881111113LSep 1 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111011133L. Slavik2.107128111WSep 1 · 11:15R. Sedlacek1.68651141L. Slavik1.9811118113
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