TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084846
Played Sep 6Finished
Jan Skvrna
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7118111012––––
Tomas Krenek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:09 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 59 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 54.5%
59 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 40–32 Tomas Krenek Tomas Krenek has won 32 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:09What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skvrna
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-32 in 72
Skvrna
Wrong
gap of 8 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvrna 1660 vs Krenek 1668
Krenek
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvrna 60% vs Krenek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvrna 60% vs Krenek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvrna -1 · Krenek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Skvrna)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.73 / Krenek 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Skvrna)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13084846
Skvrna1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 228 of 386
Up 2–0, closes it96% 77 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it74% 160 of 216
Krenek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog55% won 124 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back44% 55 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back16% 7 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvrna6wins
AwayKrenek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkvrna leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvrna62.5%5 of 8
AwayKrenekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna8Krenek2n = 10Skvrna took 8 of 10
S2Skvrna5Krenek5n = 10split evenly
S3Skvrna3Krenek7n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S4Skvrna4Krenek4n = 8split evenly
S5Skvrna3Krenek1n = 4Skvrna took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvrnaKrenekS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.739.8+0.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime454 / 783 vs 448 / 88658%50.6%454 / 783 vs 448 / 886Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.73/Krenek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 15:45J. Skvrna—11116123T. Krenek—8911101
WAug 25 · 11:40J. Skvrna—1111113T. Krenek—7950
LAug 16 · 15:45J. Skvrna—11916101T. Krenek—91118123
LAug 15 · 13:10J. Skvrna—1141211T. Krenek—81114113
LAug 15 · 10:40J. Skvrna—91151162T. Krenek—119115113
WAug 12 · 06:10J. Skvrna—118813113T. Krenek—811111172
WAug 7 · 13:08J. Skvrna—1111113T. Krenek—8770
LAug 7 · 11:40J. Skvrna—1141191T. Krenek—41113113
WAug 6 · 11:40J. Skvrna—119711113T. Krenek—71111292
WJul 20 · 13:10J. Skvrna—912117113T. Krenek—111081192
J. Skvrna10
LSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113WSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071WSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113WSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152LSep 5 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.6171180M. Macurak2.201113113WSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681WSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113WSep 4 · 15:15K. Kleprlik1.8381111682J. Skvrna1.83115911113
T. Krenek10
WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581LSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092WSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113LSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133WSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112WSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102WSep 3 · 08:44R. Benes1.919790T. Krenek1.801111113LSep 3 · 07:45T. Krenek2.00411100R. Benes1.731113123WSep 3 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73149118113D. Jr2.00121151152
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