TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13087346
Played Sep 6Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.86
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311111115118––
Lukas Slavik
Away
1.78
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Slavik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Lukas Slavik below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Lukas Slavik at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 5–5 Lukas Slavik Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:44What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (51%)
Slavik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1685 vs Slavik 1658
Krenek
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 60% vs Slavik 80%
Slavik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 60% vs Slavik 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek +1 · Slavik +4
Slavik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slavik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slavik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.86 / Slavik 1.78
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slavik)+2.9pp
TT Cup · #13087346
Krenek1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog55% won 124 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back44% 55 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back16% 7 of 45
Slavik1.78
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 38 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrenek5wins
AwaySlavik5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrenek57.1%4 of 7
AwaySlavik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek7Slavik3n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S2Krenek5Slavik5n = 10split evenly
S3Krenek3Slavik7n = 10Slavik took 7 of 10
S4Krenek2Slavik6n = 8Slavik took 6 of 8
S5Krenek3Slavik1n = 4Krenek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrenekSlavikK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.040.6−0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekSlavikBasisWin rate · lifetime449 / 887 vs 109 / 20850.6%52.4%449 / 887 vs 109 / 208Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlavikKrenek 1.86/Slavik 1.78
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Slavik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek—111118123L. Slavik—481111112
LSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek—11510111L. Slavik—71112133
WJul 16 · 07:10T. Krenek—121157113L. Slavik—106111162
WJul 13 · 08:50T. Krenek—981111123L. Slavik—111185102
LJul 13 · 07:15T. Krenek—11910101L. Slavik—61112123
WJul 11 · 10:15T. Krenek—11136113L. Slavik—7111181
LJun 16 · 06:40T. Krenek—811117122L. Slavik—118711143
LMar 10 · 18:05T. Krenek—1191191L. Slavik—91113113
LMar 10 · 17:10T. Krenek—6660L. Slavik—1111113
WFeb 24 · 12:10T. Krenek—1113113L. Slavik—51170
T. Krenek10
WSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092WSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113LSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133WSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112WSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102WSep 3 · 08:44R. Benes1.919790T. Krenek1.801111113LSep 3 · 07:45T. Krenek2.00411100R. Benes1.731113123WSep 3 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73149118113D. Jr2.00121151152
L. Slavik10
WSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113LSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 08:50L. Slavik1.611613113D. Pawlik2.20141110WSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133LSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390WSep 6 · 06:15L. Slavik1.61111195113D. Pawlik2.2088111182LSep 1 · 13:15L. Slavik2.14116791J. Skvrna1.5881111113LSep 1 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111011133L. Slavik2.107128111WSep 1 · 11:15R. Sedlacek1.68651141L. Slavik1.9811118113
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