TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058200
Played Sep 1Finished
Radek Sedlacek
Home
1.68
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611511118411––
Lukas Slavik
Away
1.98
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:53 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeLukas Slavik to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Lukas Slavik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 67 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Lukas Slavik at 55.4%
67 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 2–2 Lukas Slavik Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (54%)
Sedlacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1609 vs Slavik 1618
Slavik
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 60% vs Slavik 80%
Slavik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 50% vs Slavik 80%
Slavik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek -1 · Slavik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sedlacek) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slavik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.68 / Slavik 1.98
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sedlacek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13058200
Sedlacek1.68
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 44 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it80% 16 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it75% 30 of 40
Slavik1.98
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 41 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back35% 14 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSedlacek2wins
AwaySlavik2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySlavik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek1Slavik3n = 4Slavik took 3 of 4
S2Sedlacek3Slavik1n = 4Sedlacek took 3 of 4
S3Sedlacek1Slavik3n = 4Slavik took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSedlacekSlavikSedlacek − SlavikBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match33.534.0−0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekSlavikBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 279 vs 103 / 19847.3%52%132 / 279 vs 103 / 198Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekSedlacek 1.68/Slavik 1.98
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slavik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 12 · 18:10R. Sedlacek—611511113L. Slavik—11811462
LJun 3 · 12:15R. Sedlacek—711841L. Slavik—11811113
LMay 21 · 08:45R. Sedlacek—107100L. Slavik—1211123
WMay 21 · 05:45R. Sedlacek—1111113L. Slavik—7850
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890WSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192WSep 2 · 11:45R. Sedlacek2.0091311123T. Krenek1.7311115101LSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113LSep 2 · 09:45R. Sedlacek1.833560B. Mrowetz1.831111113LSep 1 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006970LSep 1 · 12:15B. Mrowetz2.00117115133R. Sedlacek1.73311711112
L. Slavik10
LSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113LSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 08:50L. Slavik1.611613113D. Pawlik2.20141110WSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133LSep 6 · 07:15D. Jr2.101111113L. Slavik1.678390WSep 6 · 06:15L. Slavik1.61111195113D. Pawlik2.2088111182LSep 1 · 13:15L. Slavik2.14116791J. Skvrna1.5881111113LSep 1 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111011133L. Slavik2.107128111
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