TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13056026
Played Sep 1Finished
Bruno Mrowetz
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1137111175111311
Radek Sedlacek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:15 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeRadek Sedlacek to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 90 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Radek Sedlacek at 56.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Bruno Mrowetz 4–7 Radek Sedlacek Bruno Mrowetz has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:15What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sedlacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Sedlacek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrowetz 1567 vs Sedlacek 1598
Sedlacek
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrowetz 40% vs Sedlacek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrowetz 40% vs Sedlacek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrowetz +1 · Sedlacek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sedlacek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrowetz 2.00 / Sedlacek 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Sedlacek)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13056026
Mrowetz2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 69 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Sedlacek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 44 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it80% 16 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it75% 30 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrowetz4wins
AwaySedlacek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSedlacek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrowetz50%2 of 4
AwaySedlacek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrowetz4Sedlacek6n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S2Mrowetz5Sedlacek5n = 10split evenly
S3Mrowetz6Sedlacek4n = 10Mrowetz took 6 of 10
S4Mrowetz3Sedlacek5n = 8Sedlacek took 5 of 8
S5Mrowetz2Sedlacek3n = 5Sedlacek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrowetzSedlacekM − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.442.5−0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrowetzSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 454 vs 132 / 28049.1%47.1%223 / 454 vs 132 / 280Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekMrowetz 2.00/Sedlacek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 15:10B. Mrowetz—11811752R. Sedlacek—711711113
WAug 10 · 12:48B. Mrowetz—7101411113R. Sedlacek—111212662
LAug 10 · 10:40B. Mrowetz—9138101R. Sedlacek—111111123
LJun 12 · 09:45B. Mrowetz—61490R. Sedlacek—1116113
LMay 25 · 16:45B. Mrowetz—911751R. Sedlacek—11811113
WMay 25 · 14:10B. Mrowetz—119611113R. Sedlacek—51111862
WMay 21 · 06:45B. Mrowetz—101511113R. Sedlacek—1213791
LMay 5 · 08:55B. Mrowetz—711111092R. Sedlacek—119912113
WMay 5 · 06:45B. Mrowetz—1111163R. Sedlacek—37140
LMar 11 · 09:50B. Mrowetz—111011872R. Sedlacek—812711113
B. Mrowetz10
LSep 7 · 09:10L. Lasota2.251113113B. Mrowetz1.5581190LSep 7 · 07:40B. Mrowetz1.5011811772D. Pawlik2.50911711113WSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580WSep 5 · 09:16B. Mrowetz1.831181112133M. Macurak1.831311110112WSep 5 · 07:45M. Macurak1.6111541162B. Mrowetz2.20911118113WSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 06:15B. Mrowetz1.4411116982D. Pawlik2.63831111113WSep 3 · 13:15B. Mrowetz1.441112113D. Pawlik2.6351060WSep 3 · 11:40J. Krupnik1.83116641B. Mrowetz1.8391111113
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890WSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192WSep 2 · 11:45R. Sedlacek2.0091311123T. Krenek1.7311115101LSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113LSep 2 · 09:45R. Sedlacek1.833560B. Mrowetz1.831111113LSep 1 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006970LSep 1 · 11:15R. Sedlacek1.68651141L. Slavik1.9811118113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.