TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089627
Played Sep 7Finished
Bruno Mrowetz
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119811117711711
Dominik Pawlik
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:42 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeBruno Mrowetz to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Dominik Pawlik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 93 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Bruno Mrowetz at 66.9%
93 points played in total.
H2H Bruno Mrowetz 12–5 Dominik Pawlik Dominik Pawlik has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:42What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mrowetz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-5 in 17
Mrowetz
Wrong
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrowetz 1686 vs Pawlik 1534
Mrowetz
Wrong
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrowetz 100% vs Pawlik 20%
Mrowetz
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrowetz 90% vs Pawlik 30%
Mrowetz
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrowetz +5 · Pawlik +1
Mrowetz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Mrowetz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pawlik form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrowetz 1.50 / Pawlik 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Mrowetz)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13089627
Mrowetz1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 76 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it79% 57 of 72
Pawlik2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 57 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back20% 13 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrowetz6wins
AwayPawlik4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMrowetz leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrowetz71.4%5 of 7
AwayPawlik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrowetz7Pawlik3n = 10Mrowetz took 7 of 10
S2Mrowetz7Pawlik3n = 10Mrowetz took 7 of 10
S3Mrowetz6Pawlik4n = 10Mrowetz took 6 of 10
S4Mrowetz3Pawlik3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrowetzPawlikM − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.833.6+4.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrowetzPawlikBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 475 vs 225 / 45150.3%49.9%239 / 475 vs 225 / 451Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrowetzMrowetz 1.50/Pawlik 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Mrowetz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 07:40B. Mrowetz—11811772D. Pawlik—911711113
LSep 5 · 06:15B. Mrowetz—11116982D. Pawlik—831111113
WSep 3 · 13:15B. Mrowetz—1112113D. Pawlik—51060
WSep 3 · 10:10B. Mrowetz—1211113D. Pawlik—10250
LAug 12 · 13:10B. Mrowetz—612841D. Pawlik—111011113
WAug 12 · 09:40B. Mrowetz—1112133D. Pawlik—810110
WAug 2 · 12:15B. Mrowetz—111011113D. Pawlik—812781
WJun 5 · 10:15B. Mrowetz—11119113D. Pawlik—981181
WJun 5 · 08:15B. Mrowetz—61111113D. Pawlik—114641
LMay 29 · 07:40B. Mrowetz—129100D. Pawlik—1411123
B. Mrowetz10
WSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580WSep 5 · 09:16B. Mrowetz1.831181112133M. Macurak1.831311110112WSep 5 · 07:45M. Macurak1.6111541162B. Mrowetz2.20911118113WSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 06:15B. Mrowetz1.4411116982D. Pawlik2.63831111113WSep 3 · 13:15B. Mrowetz1.441112113D. Pawlik2.6351060WSep 3 · 11:40J. Krupnik1.83116641B. Mrowetz1.8391111113WSep 3 · 11:10L. Kantor2.25651181B. Mrowetz1.5711117113WSep 3 · 10:10B. Mrowetz1.731211113D. Pawlik2.0010250
D. Pawlik10
WSep 7 · 08:40D. Pawlik1.831171110113J. Przybyla1.8321161292WSep 7 · 07:10J. Przybyla1.801713119112D. Pawlik1.911911811133LSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113LSep 6 · 08:50L. Slavik1.611613113D. Pawlik2.20141110LSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113LSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112LSep 6 · 06:15L. Slavik1.61111195113D. Pawlik2.2088111182WSep 5 · 06:15B. Mrowetz1.4411116982D. Pawlik2.63831111113LSep 3 · 13:15B. Mrowetz1.441112113D. Pawlik2.6351060LSep 3 · 10:10B. Mrowetz1.731211113D. Pawlik2.0010250
Upcoming Matches
B. Mrowetz
D. Pawlik
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.