TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089528
Played Sep 7Finished
Bruno Mrowetz
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115118––––
Jan Przybyla
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:20 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeBruno Mrowetz to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Jan Przybyla below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 53 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Bruno Mrowetz at 62.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Bruno Mrowetz 2–0 Jan Przybyla Jan Przybyla has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:20What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Mrowetz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mrowetz 1690 vs Przybyla 1522
Mrowetz
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrowetz 80% vs Przybyla 40%
Mrowetz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrowetz 80% vs Przybyla 30%
Mrowetz
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrowetz +3 · Przybyla -1
Mrowetz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Mrowetz) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrowetz 1.36 / Przybyla 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Mrowetz)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13089528
Mrowetz1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 76 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it79% 57 of 72
Przybyla3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 56 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back30% 16 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMrowetz2wins
AwayPrzybyla0wins
Mrowetz leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMrowetzPrzybylaM − PBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match36.526.0+10.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrowetzPrzybylaBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 472 vs 219 / 41950.2%52.3%237 / 472 vs 219 / 419Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrowetzMrowetz 1.36/Przybyla 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Mrowetz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 5 · 07:15B. Mrowetz—11511113J. Przybyla—811821
WMay 26 · 14:45B. Mrowetz—1311113J. Przybyla—11480
B. Mrowetz10
WSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 5 · 09:16B. Mrowetz1.831181112133M. Macurak1.831311110112WSep 5 · 07:45M. Macurak1.6111541162B. Mrowetz2.20911118113WSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 06:15B. Mrowetz1.4411116982D. Pawlik2.63831111113WSep 3 · 13:15B. Mrowetz1.441112113D. Pawlik2.6351060WSep 3 · 11:40J. Krupnik1.83116641B. Mrowetz1.8391111113WSep 3 · 11:10L. Kantor2.25651181B. Mrowetz1.5711117113WSep 3 · 10:10B. Mrowetz1.731211113D. Pawlik2.0010250WSep 3 · 09:14D. Jr1.444147101B. Mrowetz2.63111211123
J. Przybyla10
LSep 5 · 08:44J. Przybyla1.7363111182D. Pawlik2.00111189113WSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 05:45M. Macurak1.5712119113J. Przybyla2.251091181WSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123LSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113LSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 16:44J. Przybyla1.801161261T. Molin1.9171114113WSep 2 · 15:45J. Przybyla1.80119514113T. Molin1.91911111272
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