TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13066035
Played Sep 2Finished
Jan Przybyla
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1176111214611––
Tomas Molin
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJan Przybyla above · Tomas Molin below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 78 set 4, 6-11
78 points played in total.
H2H Jan Przybyla 7–10 Tomas Molin Jan Przybyla has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Przybyla)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molin form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzybyla 1.80 / Molin 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Przybyla)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13066035
Przybyla1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 55 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 41 of 56
Molin1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 20 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzybyla5wins
AwayMolin5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzybyla83.3%5 of 6
AwayMolin100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przybyla6Molin4n = 10Przybyla took 6 of 10
S2Przybyla2Molin8n = 10Molin took 8 of 10
S3Przybyla3Molin7n = 10Molin took 7 of 10
S4Przybyla3Molin3n = 6split evenly
S5Przybyla4Molin1n = 5Przybyla took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzybylaMolinP − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.041.3−2.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzybylaMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 410 vs 143 / 27352.9%52.4%217 / 410 vs 143 / 273Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzybylaPrzybyla 1.80/Molin 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Przybyla · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Molin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 15:45J. Przybyla—119514113T. Molin—911111272
WJul 10 · 06:45J. Przybyla—1471110133T. Molin—1211812112
LJul 8 · 21:20J. Przybyla—7770T. Molin—1111113
WJul 8 · 18:45J. Przybyla—1191011113T. Molin—81112972
WJul 4 · 05:45J. Przybyla—129118113T. Molin—101181162
LJul 2 · 16:45J. Przybyla—1011101172T. Molin—128126113
LJul 2 · 14:45J. Przybyla—1283101T. Molin—101111123
LJun 24 · 13:20J. Przybyla—95120T. Molin—1111143
WJun 24 · 09:45J. Przybyla—1111123T. Molin—47100
LJun 20 · 08:10J. Przybyla—7840T. Molin—1111113
J. Przybyla10
LSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580LSep 5 · 08:44J. Przybyla1.7363111182D. Pawlik2.00111189113WSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 05:45M. Macurak1.5712119113J. Przybyla2.251091181WSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123LSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113LSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972WSep 2 · 15:45J. Przybyla1.80119514113T. Molin1.91911111272
T. Molin10
LSep 6 · 17:15T. Molin1.917128101T. Kindl1.80111011123WSep 6 · 16:10T. Molin1.83111149113L. Lasota1.8357111172WSep 6 · 14:40T. Kindl1.91813111192T. Molin1.801111913113LSep 6 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73411911133T. Molin2.00118118112LSep 2 · 15:45J. Przybyla1.80119514113T. Molin1.91911111272LSep 2 · 15:15K. Baros2.101111113T. Molin1.678770LSep 2 · 14:15T. Molin2.00118851L. Dzida1.7391111113WAug 19 · 21:10T. Molin1.731511113J. Volny2.0013350WAug 19 · 19:45D. Branny2.25311351T. Molin1.5711811113WAug 19 · 19:15J. Volny2.00771281T. Molin1.73111110113
Upcoming Matches
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