TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12462298
Played Aug 19Finished
Tomas Molin
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1513113115––––
Jakub Volny
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:39 and never touched — 59.9% is still 59.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Molin to win
59.9%
59.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Molin above · Jakub Volny below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 58 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Molin at 59.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Molin 10–4 Jakub Volny Jakub Volny has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Molin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-4 in 14
Molin
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molin 1559 vs Volny 1455
Molin
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molin 100% vs Volny 80%
Molin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molin 70% vs Volny 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molin +5 · Volny +1
Molin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Molin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolin 1.73 / Volny 2.00
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Molin)+6.0pp
TT Cup · #12462298
Molin1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 54 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it69% 34 of 49
Volny2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 48 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolin8wins
AwayVolny2wins
7 of 10 to a deciderMolin leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolin80%4 of 5
AwayVolny20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molin5Volny5n = 10split evenly
S2Molin7Volny3n = 10Molin took 7 of 10
S3Molin7Volny3n = 10Molin took 7 of 10
S4Molin4Volny5n = 9Volny took 5 of 9
S5Molin5Volny2n = 7Molin took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolinVolnyM − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.841.1+3.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolinVolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 270 vs 151 / 31953%47.3%143 / 270 vs 151 / 319Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolinMolin 1.73/Volny 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Molin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Molin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 21:10T. Molin—1511113J. Volny—13350
WAug 19 · 19:15T. Molin—111110113J. Volny—771281
WAug 15 · 20:10T. Molin—612128123J. Volny—11101011102
WJul 8 · 17:45T. Molin—511119113J. Volny—11771182
WJul 6 · 21:15T. Molin—1012119113J. Volny—121071182
LJul 6 · 19:10T. Molin—11911852J. Volny—411711113
WMar 14 · 09:10T. Molin—116116113J. Volny—61181162
LFeb 28 · 10:40T. Molin—41161182J. Volny—113118113
WFeb 10 · 10:20T. Molin—91112113J. Volny—1171061
WFeb 10 · 07:10T. Molin—118313113J. Volny—611111192
T. Molin10
LSep 6 · 17:15T. Molin1.917128101T. Kindl1.80111011123WSep 6 · 16:10T. Molin1.83111149113L. Lasota1.8357111172WSep 6 · 14:40T. Kindl1.91813111192T. Molin1.801111913113LSep 6 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73411911133T. Molin2.00118118112WSep 2 · 16:44J. Przybyla1.801161261T. Molin1.9171114113LSep 2 · 15:45J. Przybyla1.80119514113T. Molin1.91911111272LSep 2 · 15:15K. Baros2.101111113T. Molin1.678770LSep 2 · 14:15T. Molin2.00118851L. Dzida1.7391111113WAug 19 · 19:45D. Branny2.25311351T. Molin1.5711811113WAug 19 · 19:15J. Volny2.00771281T. Molin1.73111110113
J. Volny10
WSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140WSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981WSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113LSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381LSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113LAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113LAug 19 · 19:15J. Volny2.00771281T. Molin1.73111110113
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