TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086819
Played Sep 6Finished
Tomas Kindl
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81113111191113911
Tomas Molin
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Molin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kindl above · Tomas Molin below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 107 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Molin at 54.0%
107 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kindl 4–2 Tomas Molin Tomas Molin has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:59What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Molin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Kindl
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kindl 1541 vs Molin 1546
Molin
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kindl 80% vs Molin 20%
Kindl
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kindl 60% vs Molin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kindl +2 · Molin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Molin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molin form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKindl 1.91 / Molin 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Molin)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13086819
Kindl1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 52 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back26% 16 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Molin1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 53 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it70% 33 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKindl4wins
AwayMolin2wins
5 of 6 to a deciderKindl leads 4–2, and 5 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKindl75%3 of 4
AwayMolinn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kindl4Molin2n = 6Kindl took 4 of 6
S2Kindl3Molin3n = 6split evenly
S3Kindl3Molin3n = 6split evenly
S4Kindl3Molin3n = 6split evenly
S5Kindl3Molin2n = 5Kindl took 3 of 5
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKindlMolinK − MBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match47.745.5+2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKindlMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 398 vs 146 / 27850.5%52.5%201 / 398 vs 146 / 278Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.639.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolinKindl 1.91/Molin 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Molin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Molin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 6 · 17:15T. Kindl—111011123T. Molin—7128101
LSep 6 · 14:40T. Kindl—813111192T. Molin—1111913113
LAug 15 · 18:40T. Kindl—11911542T. Molin—811611113
WFeb 11 · 08:10T. Kindl—111196113T. Molin—77111182
WJan 25 · 07:10T. Kindl—119916113T. Molin—911111482
WDec 17 · 07:40T. Kindl—611711113T. Molin—11811522
T. Kindl10
WSep 6 · 17:15T. Molin1.917128101T. Kindl1.80111011123WSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882WSep 6 · 13:40T. Kindl1.671111113L. Lasota2.107850WSep 4 · 09:20T. Kindl2.001111911113L. Dzida1.7313611592LSep 4 · 08:15T. Kindl1.91812791L. Dzida1.80111011113WSep 4 · 06:45A. Cizek2.001112491T. Kindl1.7381411113WSep 4 · 06:15L. Lasota2.101011781T. Kindl1.6712711113WSep 3 · 08:40T. Kindl—11911113L. Dzida—911991WSep 3 · 08:10T. Kindl2.0011116113L. Dzida1.73681191LSep 3 · 06:40D. Pawlik1.801111123T. Kindl1.9154100
T. Molin10
LSep 6 · 17:15T. Molin1.917128101T. Kindl1.80111011123WSep 6 · 16:10T. Molin1.83111149113L. Lasota1.8357111172LSep 6 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73411911133T. Molin2.00118118112WSep 2 · 16:44J. Przybyla1.801161261T. Molin1.9171114113LSep 2 · 15:45J. Przybyla1.80119514113T. Molin1.91911111272LSep 2 · 15:15K. Baros2.101111113T. Molin1.678770LSep 2 · 14:15T. Molin2.00118851L. Dzida1.7391111113WAug 19 · 21:10T. Molin1.731511113J. Volny2.0013350WAug 19 · 19:45D. Branny2.25311351T. Molin1.5711811113WAug 19 · 19:15J. Volny2.00771281T. Molin1.73111110113
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