TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086425
Played Sep 6Finished
Tomas Kindl
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118115––––
Laurent Lasota
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:37 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeTomas Kindl to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kindl above · Laurent Lasota below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Kindl at 58.2%
53 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kindl 3–1 Laurent Lasota Laurent Lasota has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:37What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kindl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kindl
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kindl 1557 vs Lasota 1516
Kindl
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kindl 80% vs Lasota 40%
Kindl
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kindl 60% vs Lasota 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kindl +1 · Lasota +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kindl) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kindl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKindl 1.67 / Lasota 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kindl)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13086425
Kindl1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 61 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it69% 38 of 55
Lasota2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 46 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKindl3wins
AwayLasota1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKindl leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKindl66.7%2 of 3
AwayLasotan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kindl3Lasota1n = 4Kindl took 3 of 4
S2Kindl2Lasota2n = 4split evenly
S3Kindl4Lasota0n = 4Kindl took 4 of 4
S4Kindl2Lasota1n = 3Kindl took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKindlLasotaK − LBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match42.539.5+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKindlLasotaBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 394 vs 135 / 27050.3%50%198 / 394 vs 135 / 270Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match41.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KindlKindl 1.67/Lasota 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Kindl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kindl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 4 · 06:15T. Kindl—12711113L. Lasota—1011781
WMar 20 · 07:10T. Kindl—1112113L. Lasota—91090
LMar 5 · 13:45T. Kindl—128129122L. Lasota—10111011143
WMar 5 · 10:45T. Kindl—71112123L. Lasota—11710101
T. Kindl10
WSep 6 · 17:15T. Molin1.917128101T. Kindl1.80111011123WSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882LSep 6 · 14:40T. Kindl1.91813111192T. Molin1.801111913113WSep 4 · 09:20T. Kindl2.001111911113L. Dzida1.7313611592LSep 4 · 08:15T. Kindl1.91812791L. Dzida1.80111011113WSep 4 · 06:45A. Cizek2.001112491T. Kindl1.7381411113WSep 4 · 06:15L. Lasota2.101011781T. Kindl1.6712711113WSep 3 · 08:40T. Kindl—11911113L. Dzida—911991WSep 3 · 08:10T. Kindl2.0011116113L. Dzida1.73681191LSep 3 · 06:40D. Pawlik1.801111123T. Kindl1.9154100
L. Lasota10
WSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113LSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 16:10T. Molin1.83111149113L. Lasota1.8357111172LSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota1.91911991L. Dzida1.8011711113WSep 4 · 08:48A. Cizek1.5381341242L. Lasota2.3811111110113LSep 4 · 07:45A. Cizek1.80911711113L. Lasota1.9111611472LSep 4 · 07:15L. Dzida1.61101111113L. Lasota2.20128841LSep 4 · 06:15L. Lasota2.101011781T. Kindl1.6712711113WAug 28 · 13:05L. Lasota1.80911511123L. Kantor1.91115114102WAug 28 · 12:10J. Volny1.8011520L. Lasota1.911311113
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