TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13032878
Played Aug 28Finished
Jakub Volny
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113511211––––
Laurent Lasota
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Volny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Volny above · Laurent Lasota below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 53 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Jakub Volny at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Volny 6–5 Laurent Lasota Laurent Lasota has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:00What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Volny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volny 1442 vs Lasota 1530
Lasota
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volny 20% vs Lasota 60%
Lasota
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volny 50% vs Lasota 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volny -3 · Lasota +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lasota) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volny form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolny 1.80 / Lasota 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lasota)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13032878
Volny1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 42 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it76% 25 of 33
Lasota1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 43 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back32% 15 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolny5wins
AwayLasota5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolny60%3 of 5
AwayLasota60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volny5Lasota5n = 10split evenly
S2Volny4Lasota6n = 10Lasota took 6 of 10
S3Volny3Lasota7n = 10Lasota took 7 of 10
S4Volny6Lasota3n = 9Volny took 6 of 9
S5Volny4Lasota3n = 7Volny took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolnyLasotaV − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.246.5−3.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolnyLasotaBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 335 vs 133 / 26547.5%50.2%159 / 335 vs 133 / 265Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LasotaVolny 1.80/Lasota 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lasota · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lasota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 12:10J. Volny—11520L. Lasota—1311113
LAug 26 · 08:55J. Volny—1911871L. Lasota—21811113
WAug 26 · 08:15J. Volny—981111113L. Lasota—11119972
LAug 20 · 13:15J. Volny—111310652L. Lasota—9111211113
LAug 20 · 10:15J. Volny—11991182L. Lasota—911115113
WAug 16 · 15:40J. Volny—11119113L. Lasota—981181
WJul 19 · 06:10J. Volny—113911133L. Lasota—611118112
LJul 18 · 14:45J. Volny—361112122L. Lasota—1111510143
WApr 4 · 12:15J. Volny—114711113L. Lasota—71111992
WApr 3 · 07:15J. Volny—6111110113L. Lasota—11991292
J. Volny10
WSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140WSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981WSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113LSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381LSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113LAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 07:40J. Volny1.731111113V. Reska2.006960
L. Lasota10
LSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113LSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 16:10T. Molin1.83111149113L. Lasota1.8357111172LSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota1.91911991L. Dzida1.8011711113LSep 6 · 13:40T. Kindl1.671111113L. Lasota2.107850WSep 4 · 08:48A. Cizek1.5381341242L. Lasota2.3811111110113LSep 4 · 07:45A. Cizek1.80911711113L. Lasota1.9111611472LSep 4 · 07:15L. Dzida1.61101111113L. Lasota2.20128841LSep 4 · 06:15L. Lasota2.101011781T. Kindl1.6712711113
Upcoming Matches
J. Volny
Nothing scheduled
L. Lasota
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