TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073059
Played Sep 4Finished
Laurent Lasota
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012117711811––
Tomas Kindl
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:10 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeLaurent Lasota to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLaurent Lasota above · Tomas Kindl below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 77 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Laurent Lasota at 60.4%
77 points played in total.
H2H Laurent Lasota 1–3 Tomas Kindl Laurent Lasota has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:10What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kindl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Kindl
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lasota 1516 vs Kindl 1557
Kindl
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lasota 100% vs Kindl 40%
Lasota
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lasota 60% vs Kindl 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lasota +5 · Kindl +2
Lasota
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kindl) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kindl form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLasota 2.10 / Kindl 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kindl)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13073059
Lasota2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 46 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Kindl1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 61 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it69% 38 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeLasota1wins
AwayKindl3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKindl leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLasotan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKindl66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lasota1Kindl3n = 4Kindl took 3 of 4
S2Lasota2Kindl2n = 4split evenly
S3Lasota0Kindl4n = 4Kindl took 4 of 4
S4Lasota1Kindl2n = 3Kindl took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricLasotaKindlL − KBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match39.542.5−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLasotaKindlBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 270 vs 198 / 39450%50.3%135 / 270 vs 198 / 394Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.041.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KindlLasota 2.10/Kindl 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Kindl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kindl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 4 · 06:15L. Lasota—1011781T. Kindl—12711113
LMar 20 · 07:10L. Lasota—91090T. Kindl—1112113
WMar 5 · 13:45L. Lasota—10111011143T. Kindl—128129122
LMar 5 · 10:45L. Lasota—11710101T. Kindl—71112123
L. Lasota10
LSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113LSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 16:10T. Molin1.83111149113L. Lasota1.8357111172LSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota1.91911991L. Dzida1.8011711113LSep 6 · 13:40T. Kindl1.671111113L. Lasota2.107850WSep 4 · 08:48A. Cizek1.5381341242L. Lasota2.3811111110113LSep 4 · 07:45A. Cizek1.80911711113L. Lasota1.9111611472LSep 4 · 07:15L. Dzida1.61101111113L. Lasota2.20128841WAug 28 · 13:05L. Lasota1.80911511123L. Kantor1.91115114102
T. Kindl10
WSep 6 · 17:15T. Molin1.917128101T. Kindl1.80111011123WSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882LSep 6 · 14:40T. Kindl1.91813111192T. Molin1.801111913113WSep 6 · 13:40T. Kindl1.671111113L. Lasota2.107850WSep 4 · 09:20T. Kindl2.001111911113L. Dzida1.7313611592LSep 4 · 08:15T. Kindl1.91812791L. Dzida1.80111011113WSep 4 · 06:45A. Cizek2.001112491T. Kindl1.7381411113WSep 3 · 08:40T. Kindl—11911113L. Dzida—911991WSep 3 · 08:10T. Kindl2.0011116113L. Dzida1.73681191LSep 3 · 06:40D. Pawlik1.801111123T. Kindl1.9154100
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