TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13067848
Played Sep 3Finished
Tomas Kindl
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116118611119––
Lukas Dzida
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Dzida to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Kindl above · Lukas Dzida below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 73 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Lukas Dzida at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kindl 1–2 Lukas Dzida Tomas Kindl has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dzida
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kindl 1527 vs Dzida 1535
Dzida
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kindl 40% vs Dzida 60%
Dzida
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kindl 50% vs Dzida 70%
Dzida
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kindl -3 · Dzida +1
Kindl
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dzida)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKindl 2.00 / Dzida 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dzida)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13067848
Kindl2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 50 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Dzida1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite48% won 35 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it64% 23 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKindl1wins
AwayDzida2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderDzida leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kindl2Dzida1n = 3Kindl took 2 of 3
S2Kindl0Dzida3n = 3Dzida took 3 of 3
S3Kindl1Dzida2n = 3Dzida took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKindlDzidaK − DBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match36.341.0−4.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKindlDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 388 vs 97 / 17949.7%54.2%193 / 388 vs 97 / 179Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match41.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaKindl 2.00/Dzida 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kindl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 21 · 05:45T. Kindl—115116102L. Dzida—911411123
LAug 17 · 12:38T. Kindl—5580L. Dzida—1111113
WAug 17 · 09:40T. Kindl—114814113L. Dzida—411111252
T. Kindl10
WSep 6 · 17:15T. Molin1.917128101T. Kindl1.80111011123WSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882LSep 6 · 14:40T. Kindl1.91813111192T. Molin1.801111913113WSep 6 · 13:40T. Kindl1.671111113L. Lasota2.107850WSep 4 · 09:20T. Kindl2.001111911113L. Dzida1.7313611592LSep 4 · 08:15T. Kindl1.91812791L. Dzida1.80111011113WSep 4 · 06:45A. Cizek2.001112491T. Kindl1.7381411113WSep 4 · 06:15L. Lasota2.101011781T. Kindl1.6712711113WSep 3 · 08:40T. Kindl—11911113L. Dzida—911991LSep 3 · 06:40D. Pawlik1.801111123T. Kindl1.9154100
L. Dzida10
WSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882WSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota1.91911991L. Dzida1.8011711113WSep 6 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73411911133T. Molin2.00118118112LSep 4 · 09:20T. Kindl2.001111911113L. Dzida1.7313611592WSep 4 · 08:15T. Kindl1.91812791L. Dzida1.80111011113WSep 4 · 07:15L. Dzida1.61101111113L. Lasota2.20128841LSep 4 · 05:45A. Cizek2.1011611113L. Dzida1.67811851LSep 3 · 08:40T. Kindl—11911113L. Dzida—911991WSep 3 · 07:10L. Dzida1.80811118113L. Kantor1.9111371122
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