TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13067834
Played Sep 3Finished
Lukas Dzida
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811113117811112
Lukas Kantor
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Kantor to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingLukas Dzida above · Lukas Kantor below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 83 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Lukas Kantor at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Dzida 3–1 Lukas Kantor Lukas Kantor has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:09What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dzida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Dzida
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dzida 1525 vs Kantor 1506
Dzida
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dzida 60% vs Kantor 40%
Dzida
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dzida 60% vs Kantor 40%
Dzida
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dzida -2 · Kantor +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kantor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kantor form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDzida 1.80 / Kantor 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kantor)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13067834
Dzida1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 35 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it64% 23 of 36
Kantor1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 60 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDzida3wins
AwayKantor1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderDzida leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dzida2Kantor2n = 4split evenly
S2Dzida2Kantor2n = 4split evenly
S3Dzida2Kantor2n = 4split evenly
S4Dzida2Kantor1n = 3Dzida took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricDzidaKantorD − KBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match41.234.2+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDzidaKantorBasisWin rate · lifetime96 / 178 vs 167 / 33353.9%50.2%96 / 178 vs 167 / 333Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KantorDzida 1.80/Kantor 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kantor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJul 6 · 12:35L. Dzida—911971L. Kantor—11511113
WJul 6 · 12:10L. Dzida—1111113L. Kantor—9650
WJun 30 · 12:45L. Dzida—117511113L. Kantor—31111832
WJun 30 · 11:45L. Dzida—981111123L. Kantor—111147102
L. Dzida10
WSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882WSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota1.91911991L. Dzida1.8011711113WSep 6 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73411911133T. Molin2.00118118112LSep 4 · 09:20T. Kindl2.001111911113L. Dzida1.7313611592WSep 4 · 08:15T. Kindl1.91812791L. Dzida1.80111011113WSep 4 · 07:15L. Dzida1.61101111113L. Lasota2.20128841LSep 4 · 05:45A. Cizek2.1011611113L. Dzida1.67811851LSep 3 · 08:40T. Kindl—11911113L. Dzida—911991LSep 3 · 08:10T. Kindl2.0011116113L. Dzida1.73681191
L. Kantor10
LSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113WSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112LSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113WSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101LSep 3 · 12:45L. Kantor2.208890J. Krupnik1.611111113LSep 3 · 12:10D. Pawlik1.5711117113L. Kantor2.25861191LSep 3 · 11:10L. Kantor2.25651181B. Mrowetz1.5711117113WSep 3 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.53911981L. Kantor2.3811611113WSep 3 · 09:08L. Kantor2.1011911113D. Pawlik1.67611891WSep 3 · 07:40D. Pawlik1.50611681L. Kantor2.5011911113
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