TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13067850
Played Sep 3Finished
Dominik Pawlik
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119611811––
Lukas Kantor
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:09 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeDominik Pawlik to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDominik Pawlik above · Lukas Kantor below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Dominik Pawlik at 63.3%
73 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Pawlik 11–7 Lukas Kantor Lukas Kantor has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:09What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pawlik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-7 in 18
Pawlik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pawlik 1583 vs Kantor 1496
Pawlik
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pawlik 80% vs Kantor 40%
Pawlik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pawlik 60% vs Kantor 40%
Pawlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pawlik +4 · Kantor -1
Pawlik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Pawlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pawlik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 1.50 / Kantor 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Pawlik)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13067850
Pawlik1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 71 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it88% 37 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it78% 55 of 71
Kantor2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 60 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePawlik6wins
AwayKantor4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPawlik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlik80%4 of 5
AwayKantor60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik5Kantor5n = 10split evenly
S2Pawlik4Kantor6n = 10Kantor took 6 of 10
S3Pawlik9Kantor1n = 10Pawlik took 9 of 10
S4Pawlik3Kantor4n = 7Kantor took 4 of 7
S5Pawlik2Kantor1n = 3Pawlik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPawlikKantorP − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.035.1+2.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikKantorBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 433 vs 167 / 33450.4%50%218 / 433 vs 167 / 334Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikPawlik 1.50/Kantor 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kantor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 08:38D. Pawlik—551181L. Kantor—11117113
WAug 31 · 06:45D. Pawlik—71113113L. Kantor—1191141
WJul 17 · 09:20D. Pawlik—1411113L. Kantor—12630
WJul 17 · 06:40D. Pawlik—1111113L. Kantor—6570
WJul 6 · 10:40D. Pawlik—6111311113L. Kantor—111311632
WJun 26 · 08:10D. Pawlik—119115163L. Kantor—911711142
LJun 18 · 08:50D. Pawlik—851181L. Kantor—11112113
WJun 18 · 06:15D. Pawlik—1111113L. Kantor—6790
LJun 5 · 10:45D. Pawlik—411191L. Kantor—11118113
LJun 4 · 06:10D. Pawlik—117101172L. Kantor—711122113
D. Pawlik10
WSep 7 · 07:10J. Przybyla1.801713119112D. Pawlik1.911911811133LSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113LSep 6 · 08:50L. Slavik1.611613113D. Pawlik2.20141110LSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113LSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112LSep 6 · 06:15L. Slavik1.61111195113D. Pawlik2.2088111182WSep 5 · 08:44J. Przybyla1.7363111182D. Pawlik2.00111189113LSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113LSep 5 · 06:45M. Macurak1.53511119113D. Pawlik2.3811821112WSep 5 · 06:15B. Mrowetz1.4411116982D. Pawlik2.63831111113
L. Kantor10
LSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113WSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112LSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113WSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101LSep 3 · 12:45L. Kantor2.208890J. Krupnik1.611111113LSep 3 · 12:10D. Pawlik1.5711117113L. Kantor2.25861191LSep 3 · 11:10L. Kantor2.25651181B. Mrowetz1.5711117113WSep 3 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.53911981L. Kantor2.3811611113WSep 3 · 09:08L. Kantor2.1011911113D. Pawlik1.67611891LSep 3 · 07:10L. Dzida1.80811118113L. Kantor1.9111371122
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