Lukas Kantor vs Dominik Pawlik 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13070501

Played Sep 3Finished

Lukas Kantor

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

116911118119––

Dominik Pawlik

Away

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingLukas Kantor above · Dominik Pawlik below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 76 set 4, 11-9

76 points played in total.

H2H Lukas Kantor 8–11 Dominik Pawlik Lukas Kantor has won 8 of their 19 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pawlik)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pawlik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKantor 2.10 / Pawlik 1.67

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Pawlik)+0.4pp

TT Cup · #13070501

Kantor2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As underdog44% won 60 of 136

Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 68

Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36

Pawlik1.67

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite58% won 71 of 122

Up 2–0, closes it88% 37 of 42

Up 1–0, closes it78% 55 of 71

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKantor4wins

AwayPawlik6wins

2 of 10 to a deciderPawlik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKantor66.7%4 of 6

AwayPawlik100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kantor6Pawlik4n = 10Kantor took 6 of 10

S2Kantor5Pawlik5n = 10split evenly

S3Kantor1Pawlik9n = 10Pawlik took 9 of 10

S4Kantor5Pawlik2n = 7Kantor took 5 of 7

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricKantorPawlikK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.036.5−1.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKantorPawlikBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 335 vs 218 / 43450.2%50.2%168 / 335 vs 218 / 434Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Pawlik

Kantor 2.10/Pawlik 1.67

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

56.2%

Pawlik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kantor won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 3 · 07:40L. Kantor—11911113D. Pawlik—611681

WAug 31 · 08:38L. Kantor—11117113D. Pawlik—551181

LAug 31 · 06:45L. Kantor—1191141D. Pawlik—71113113

LJul 17 · 09:20L. Kantor—12630D. Pawlik—1411113

LJul 17 · 06:40L. Kantor—6570D. Pawlik—1111113

LJul 6 · 10:40L. Kantor—111311632D. Pawlik—6111311113

LJun 26 · 08:10L. Kantor—911711142D. Pawlik—119115163

WJun 18 · 08:50L. Kantor—11112113D. Pawlik—851181

LJun 18 · 06:15L. Kantor—6790D. Pawlik—1111113

WJun 5 · 10:45L. Kantor—11118113D. Pawlik—411191

L. Kantor10

LSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113 WSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112 LSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113 WSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101 LSep 3 · 12:45L. Kantor2.208890J. Krupnik1.611111113 LSep 3 · 12:10D. Pawlik1.5711117113L. Kantor2.25861191 LSep 3 · 11:10L. Kantor2.25651181B. Mrowetz1.5711117113 WSep 3 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.53911981L. Kantor2.3811611113 WSep 3 · 07:40D. Pawlik1.50611681L. Kantor2.5011911113 LSep 3 · 07:10L. Dzida1.80811118113L. Kantor1.9111371122

D. Pawlik10

WSep 7 · 08:40D. Pawlik1.831171110113J. Przybyla1.8321161292 WSep 7 · 07:40B. Mrowetz1.5011811772D. Pawlik2.50911711113 WSep 7 · 07:10J. Przybyla1.801713119112D. Pawlik1.911911811133 LSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113 LSep 6 · 08:50L. Slavik1.611613113D. Pawlik2.20141110 LSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113 LSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112 LSep 6 · 06:15L. Slavik1.61111195113D. Pawlik2.2088111182 WSep 3 · 12:10D. Pawlik1.5711117113L. Kantor2.25861191 LSep 3 · 07:40D. Pawlik1.50611681L. Kantor2.5011911113

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