TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13035677
Played Aug 28Finished
Laurent Lasota
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111155111141210
Lukas Kantor
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:31 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeLukas Kantor to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLaurent Lasota above · Lukas Kantor below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 89 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Lukas Kantor at 55.2%
89 points played in total.
H2H Laurent Lasota 5–9 Lukas Kantor Laurent Lasota has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:31What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lasota
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-9 in 14
Kantor
Wrong
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lasota 1530 vs Kantor 1565
Kantor
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lasota 80% vs Kantor 60%
Lasota
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lasota 50% vs Kantor 80%
Kantor
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lasota +4 · Kantor +2
Lasota
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kantor) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lasota form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLasota 1.80 / Kantor 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kantor)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13035677
Lasota1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 57 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it71% 35 of 49
Kantor1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 57 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLasota4wins
AwayKantor6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKantor leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLasota42.9%3 of 7
AwayKantor66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lasota7Kantor3n = 10Lasota took 7 of 10
S2Lasota6Kantor4n = 10Lasota took 6 of 10
S3Lasota2Kantor8n = 10Kantor took 8 of 10
S4Lasota3Kantor6n = 9Kantor took 6 of 9
S5Lasota2Kantor2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLasotaKantorL − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.140.8−0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLasotaKantorBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 265 vs 165 / 32750.2%50.5%133 / 265 vs 165 / 327Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KantorLasota 1.80/Kantor 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kantor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lasota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 09:40L. Lasota—9111011123L. Kantor—117128102
LAug 26 · 07:15L. Lasota—11112892L. Kantor—981111113
LAug 21 · 08:10L. Lasota—11861172L. Kantor—411114113
WAug 18 · 07:10L. Lasota—141199113L. Kantor—125111162
LAug 14 · 08:53L. Lasota—118681L. Kantor—91111113
LAug 14 · 07:15L. Lasota—81211111L. Kantor—11143133
WJul 30 · 05:40L. Lasota—11119123L. Kantor—8511101
LJul 10 · 07:15L. Lasota—118941L. Kantor—81111113
LJul 7 · 09:40L. Lasota—612721L. Kantor—111011113
WJul 3 · 07:10L. Lasota—1111113L. Kantor—6890
L. Lasota10
LSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113LSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 16:10T. Molin1.83111149113L. Lasota1.8357111172LSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota1.91911991L. Dzida1.8011711113LSep 6 · 13:40T. Kindl1.671111113L. Lasota2.107850WSep 4 · 08:48A. Cizek1.5381341242L. Lasota2.3811111110113LSep 4 · 07:45A. Cizek1.80911711113L. Lasota1.9111611472LSep 4 · 07:15L. Dzida1.61101111113L. Lasota2.20128841LSep 4 · 06:15L. Lasota2.101011781T. Kindl1.6712711113
L. Kantor10
LSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113WSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112LSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113WSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101LSep 3 · 12:45L. Kantor2.208890J. Krupnik1.611111113LSep 3 · 12:10D. Pawlik1.5711117113L. Kantor2.25861191LSep 3 · 11:10L. Kantor2.25651181B. Mrowetz1.5711117113WSep 3 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.53911981L. Kantor2.3811611113WSep 3 · 09:08L. Kantor2.1011911113D. Pawlik1.67611891WSep 3 · 07:40D. Pawlik1.50611681L. Kantor2.5011911113
Upcoming Matches
L. Lasota
L. Kantor
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.