TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063538
Played Sep 2Finished
Jan Przybyla
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1199115111412117
Tomas Molin
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Przybyla to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Przybyla above · Tomas Molin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 100 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jan Przybyla at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Jan Przybyla 7–10 Tomas Molin Jan Przybyla has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:01What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Przybyla
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-10 in 17
Molin
Wrong
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przybyla 1540 vs Molin 1528
Przybyla
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przybyla 0% vs Molin 60%
Molin
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przybyla 40% vs Molin 60%
Molin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Przybyla -5 · Molin -2
Przybyla
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Przybyla)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzybyla 1.80 / Molin 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Przybyla)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13063538
Przybyla1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 55 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it83% 29 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 41 of 56
Molin1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 20 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzybyla5wins
AwayMolin5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzybyla83.3%5 of 6
AwayMolin100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przybyla6Molin4n = 10Przybyla took 6 of 10
S2Przybyla2Molin8n = 10Molin took 8 of 10
S3Przybyla3Molin7n = 10Molin took 7 of 10
S4Przybyla3Molin3n = 6split evenly
S5Przybyla4Molin1n = 5Przybyla took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzybylaMolinP − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.041.3−2.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzybylaMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 410 vs 143 / 27352.9%52.4%217 / 410 vs 143 / 273Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzybylaPrzybyla 1.80/Molin 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Przybyla · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Przybyla won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 15:45J. Przybyla—119514113T. Molin—911111272
WJul 10 · 06:45J. Przybyla—1471110133T. Molin—1211812112
LJul 8 · 21:20J. Przybyla—7770T. Molin—1111113
WJul 8 · 18:45J. Przybyla—1191011113T. Molin—81112972
WJul 4 · 05:45J. Przybyla—129118113T. Molin—101181162
LJul 2 · 16:45J. Przybyla—1011101172T. Molin—128126113
LJul 2 · 14:45J. Przybyla—1283101T. Molin—101111123
LJun 24 · 13:20J. Przybyla—95120T. Molin—1111143
WJun 24 · 09:45J. Przybyla—1111123T. Molin—47100
LJun 20 · 08:10J. Przybyla—7840T. Molin—1111113
J. Przybyla10
LSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580LSep 5 · 08:44J. Przybyla1.7363111182D. Pawlik2.00111189113WSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 05:45M. Macurak1.5712119113J. Przybyla2.251091181WSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123LSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113LSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 16:44J. Przybyla1.801161261T. Molin1.9171114113
T. Molin10
LSep 6 · 17:15T. Molin1.917128101T. Kindl1.80111011123WSep 6 · 16:10T. Molin1.83111149113L. Lasota1.8357111172WSep 6 · 14:40T. Kindl1.91813111192T. Molin1.801111913113LSep 6 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73411911133T. Molin2.00118118112WSep 2 · 16:44J. Przybyla1.801161261T. Molin1.9171114113LSep 2 · 15:15K. Baros2.101111113T. Molin1.678770LSep 2 · 14:15T. Molin2.00118851L. Dzida1.7391111113WAug 19 · 21:10T. Molin1.731511113J. Volny2.0013350WAug 19 · 19:45D. Branny2.25311351T. Molin1.5711811113WAug 19 · 19:15J. Volny2.00771281T. Molin1.73111110113
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