TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073932
Played Sep 4Finished
Jan Przybyla
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611117911811––
Jan Krupnik
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:52 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Przybyla above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 56.5%
74 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:52What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Krupnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Przybyla 1552 vs Krupnik 1616
Krupnik
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przybyla 20% vs Krupnik 60%
Krupnik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przybyla 30% vs Krupnik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przybyla -2 · Krupnik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Krupnik) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzybyla 2.20 / Krupnik 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Krupnik)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13073932
Przybyla2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog55% won 56 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back32% 16 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Krupnik1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 151 of 278
Up 2–0, closes it96% 68 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it72% 107 of 149
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzybylaKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 412 vs 431 / 84252.7%51.2%217 / 412 vs 431 / 842Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikPrzybyla 2.20/Krupnik 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krupnik won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Przybyla10
LSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580LSep 5 · 08:44J. Przybyla1.7363111182D. Pawlik2.00111189113WSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113LSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 05:45M. Macurak1.5712119113J. Przybyla2.251091181WSep 4 · 12:40D. Jr1.4499100J. Przybyla2.631111123LSep 4 · 12:10D. Jr1.801311113J. Przybyla1.9111980LSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 16:44J. Przybyla1.801161261T. Molin1.9171114113WSep 2 · 15:45J. Przybyla1.80119514113T. Molin1.91911111272
J. Krupnik10
WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152WSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113WSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113LSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181LSep 4 · 09:40M. Macurak1.77611911113J. Krupnik1.8711811882LSep 4 · 09:09M. Macurak1.91611911113J. Krupnik1.8011811882WSep 4 · 07:40J. Skvrna1.73118491J. Krupnik2.0081111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Przybyla
J. Krupnik
Nothing scheduled
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