TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073907
Played Sep 4Finished
Jan Skvrna
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118811411911––
Jan Krupnik
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:51 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 54.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 32–25 Jan Krupnik Jan Krupnik has won 25 of their 57 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:51What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skvrna
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-25 in 57
Skvrna
Wrong
gap of 7 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvrna 1669 vs Krupnik 1616
Skvrna
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvrna 80% vs Krupnik 40%
Skvrna
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvrna 70% vs Krupnik 50%
Skvrna
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvrna +4 · Krupnik +1
Skvrna
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Skvrna)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvrna form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.73 / Krupnik 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Skvrna)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13073907
Skvrna1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 222 of 376
Up 2–0, closes it96% 75 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it74% 156 of 211
Krupnik2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 105 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back28% 25 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvrna5wins
AwayKrupnik5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvrna60%3 of 5
AwayKrupnik60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna5Krupnik5n = 10split evenly
S2Skvrna4Krupnik6n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S3Skvrna4Krupnik6n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S4Skvrna6Krupnik3n = 9Skvrna took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvrnaKrupnikS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.439.40.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 773 vs 431 / 84258%51.2%448 / 773 vs 431 / 842Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.73/Krupnik 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 07:40J. Skvrna—118491J. Krupnik—81111113
WAug 16 · 16:44J. Skvrna—1110911113J. Krupnik—11211872
LAug 16 · 14:45J. Skvrna—13710111J. Krupnik—111112133
WJul 23 · 13:15J. Skvrna—11114113J. Krupnik—741171
WJul 23 · 10:15J. Skvrna—121011113J. Krupnik—1012881
WJul 15 · 11:40J. Skvrna—81111113J. Krupnik—119841
LJul 11 · 16:15J. Skvrna—7960J. Krupnik—1111113
LJul 8 · 13:10J. Skvrna—9129101J. Krupnik—111011123
WJul 8 · 12:10J. Skvrna—71212113J. Krupnik—11101061
LJun 29 · 07:40J. Skvrna—75131262J. Krupnik—11111110113
J. Skvrna10
LSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113WSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071WSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113WSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152LSep 5 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.6171180M. Macurak2.201113113WSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681WSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113
J. Krupnik10
WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152WSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113WSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113LSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113WSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181LSep 4 · 09:40M. Macurak1.77611911113J. Krupnik1.8711811882LSep 4 · 09:09M. Macurak1.91611911113J. Krupnik1.8011811882
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J. Krupnik
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