TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13079010
Played Sep 5Finished
Jan Krupnik
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611116711511––
Michal Macurak
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Macurak to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Michal Macurak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 68 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Michal Macurak at 56.5%
68 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 12–19 Michal Macurak Jan Krupnik has won 12 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:58What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Macurak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-19 in 31
Macurak
Correct
gap of 7 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupnik 1611 vs Macurak 1662
Macurak
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupnik 60% vs Macurak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupnik 60% vs Macurak 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupnik +1 · Macurak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Macurak) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 1.91 / Macurak 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Macurak)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13079010
Krupnik1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog49% won 107 of 220
Down 0–1, comes back29% 26 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Macurak1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 58 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it68% 36 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik3wins
AwayMacurak7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMacurak leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik16.7%1 of 6
AwayMacurak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik6Macurak4n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S2Krupnik4Macurak6n = 10Macurak took 6 of 10
S3Krupnik5Macurak5n = 10split evenly
S4Krupnik3Macurak6n = 9Macurak took 6 of 9
S5Krupnik0Macurak3n = 3Macurak took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikMacurakK − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.640.2−2.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikMacurakBasisWin rate · lifetime433 / 845 vs 227 / 45251.2%50.2%433 / 845 vs 227 / 452Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MacurakKrupnik 1.91/Macurak 1.80
Hit
What we said
54%
Macurak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Macurak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 09:40J. Krupnik—11811882M. Macurak—611911113
LSep 4 · 09:09J. Krupnik—11811882M. Macurak—611911113
LSep 4 · 06:10J. Krupnik—1111961M. Macurak—51311113
LAug 23 · 20:10J. Krupnik—117751M. Macurak—21111113
WAug 19 · 12:39J. Krupnik—101111113M. Macurak—128971
LAug 19 · 10:45J. Krupnik—1111371M. Macurak—41311113
LAug 18 · 12:45J. Krupnik—6380M. Macurak—1111113
LAug 18 · 11:10J. Krupnik—121111652M. Macurak—146811113
WAug 11 · 17:10J. Krupnik—51111133M. Macurak—1198111
WAug 11 · 15:40J. Krupnik—11117113M. Macurak—681191
J. Krupnik10
WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152WSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123WSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113LSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113WSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181LSep 4 · 09:40M. Macurak1.77611911113J. Krupnik1.8711811882LSep 4 · 09:09M. Macurak1.91611911113J. Krupnik1.8011811882WSep 4 · 07:40J. Skvrna1.73118491J. Krupnik2.0081111113
M. Macurak10
WSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991WSep 6 · 19:40D. Skulina1.6711119492M. Macurak2.10771111113WSep 6 · 19:10P. Marsalek2.20891131M. Macurak1.6111118113WSep 6 · 18:10M. Macurak1.7311101112153J. Travnicek2.00312614132LSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113LSep 5 · 12:15M. Macurak1.618770E. Precek2.201111113WSep 5 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.6171180M. Macurak2.201113113LSep 5 · 09:16B. Mrowetz1.831181112133M. Macurak1.831311110112WSep 4 · 09:40M. Macurak1.77611911113J. Krupnik1.8711811882WSep 4 · 09:09M. Macurak1.91611911113J. Krupnik1.8011811882
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