TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13080365
Played Sep 5Finished
Michal Macurak
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711711––––
Erik Precek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:18 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Macurak to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Macurak above · Erik Precek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Michal Macurak at 60.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Michal Macurak 9–6 Erik Precek Erik Precek has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:18What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Macurak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Macurak
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Macurak 1638 vs Precek 1570
Macurak
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Macurak 60% vs Precek 0%
Macurak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Macurak 70% vs Precek 30%
Macurak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Macurak +2 · Precek -5
Precek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Macurak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Precek form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMacurak 1.61 / Precek 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Macurak)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13080365
Macurak1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 58 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it68% 36 of 53
Precek2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 65 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMacurak6wins
AwayPrecek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMacurak leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMacurak83.3%5 of 6
AwayPrecek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Macurak6Precek4n = 10Macurak took 6 of 10
S2Macurak6Precek4n = 10Macurak took 6 of 10
S3Macurak6Precek4n = 10Macurak took 6 of 10
S4Macurak3Precek4n = 7Precek took 4 of 7
S5Macurak2Precek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMacurakPrecekM − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.437.5+2.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMacurakPrecekBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 456 vs 211 / 45050.2%46.9%229 / 456 vs 211 / 450Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MacurakMacurak 1.61/Precek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Macurak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Precek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 12:15M. Macurak—8770E. Precek—1111113
LJul 18 · 19:10M. Macurak—177116152E. Precek—1511311173
WJul 6 · 16:15M. Macurak—1111113E. Precek—6660
WJun 28 · 18:45M. Macurak—13117113E. Precek—1181181
WJun 21 · 12:45M. Macurak—1211113E. Precek—10560
LJun 21 · 11:10M. Macurak—101111582E. Precek—124911113
WMay 23 · 06:45M. Macurak—591111113E. Precek—11118572
WMay 9 · 08:15M. Macurak—11117113E. Precek—691191
WApr 26 · 15:10M. Macurak—1110119113E. Precek—81271172
LFeb 20 · 07:45M. Macurak—1011571E. Precek—12511113
M. Macurak10
WSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991WSep 6 · 19:40D. Skulina1.6711119492M. Macurak2.10771111113WSep 6 · 19:10P. Marsalek2.20891131M. Macurak1.6111118113WSep 6 · 18:10M. Macurak1.7311101112153J. Travnicek2.00312614132LSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113WSep 5 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.6171180M. Macurak2.201113113WSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113LSep 5 · 09:16B. Mrowetz1.831181112133M. Macurak1.831311110112LSep 5 · 07:45M. Macurak1.6111541162B. Mrowetz2.20911118113WSep 5 · 06:45M. Macurak1.53511119113D. Pawlik2.3811821112
E. Precek10
WSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092LSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071LSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LAug 30 · 08:49L. Dzida2.201111113E. Precek1.616870LAug 30 · 07:45E. Precek1.8011613111D. Vitasek1.9181115133LAug 30 · 06:45E. Precek2.20114861K. Kleprlik1.6191111113
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