TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13080613
Played Sep 5Finished
Erik Precek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71151115131012––
Jan Krupnik
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:58 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingErik Precek above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 10-10
Point 82 set 4, 10-10 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 59.4%
82 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Erik Precek 12–15 Jan Krupnik Erik Precek has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Krupnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-15 in 27
Krupnik
Correct
gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Precek 1555 vs Krupnik 1601
Krupnik
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Precek 0% vs Krupnik 60%
Krupnik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Precek 40% vs Krupnik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Precek -5 · Krupnik -1
Precek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Krupnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Precek form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrecek 2.10 / Krupnik 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Krupnik)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13080613
Precek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 65 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Krupnik1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 153 of 281
Up 2–0, closes it96% 69 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it72% 109 of 151
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrecek4wins
AwayKrupnik6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKrupnik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrecek66.7%2 of 3
AwayKrupnik71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Precek3Krupnik7n = 10Krupnik took 7 of 10
S2Precek5Krupnik5n = 10split evenly
S3Precek5Krupnik5n = 10split evenly
S4Precek3Krupnik6n = 9Krupnik took 6 of 9
S5Precek2Krupnik1n = 3Precek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrecekKrupnikP − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.941.3−3.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrecekKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 447 vs 433 / 84647%51.2%210 / 447 vs 433 / 846Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikPrecek 2.10/Krupnik 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.4%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 16 · 12:15E. Precek—48120J. Krupnik—1111143
LAug 8 · 06:15E. Precek—581231J. Krupnik—111110113
WAug 2 · 09:15E. Precek—111311113J. Krupnik—915541
WAug 2 · 08:10E. Precek—111275113J. Krupnik—910111152
LJul 17 · 08:44E. Precek—911891J. Krupnik—11511113
LJul 17 · 06:45E. Precek—451161J. Krupnik—11114113
WJul 13 · 16:45E. Precek—11111111113J. Krupnik—13813992
WJul 13 · 15:15E. Precek—41111143J. Krupnik—1199121
LJul 8 · 06:10E. Precek—11911652J. Krupnik—711611113
LJun 28 · 19:45E. Precek—9111051J. Krupnik—11712113
E. Precek10
WSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092LSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071LSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261WSep 5 · 12:15M. Macurak1.618770E. Precek2.201111113LSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LAug 30 · 08:49L. Dzida2.201111113E. Precek1.616870LAug 30 · 07:45E. Precek1.8011613111D. Vitasek1.9181115133LAug 30 · 06:45E. Precek2.20114861K. Kleprlik1.6191111113
J. Krupnik10
WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152LSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113WSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113LSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113WSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181LSep 4 · 09:40M. Macurak1.77611911113J. Krupnik1.8711811882LSep 4 · 09:09M. Macurak1.91611911113J. Krupnik1.8011811882WSep 4 · 07:40J. Skvrna1.73118491J. Krupnik2.0081111113
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