TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073991
Played Sep 4Finished
Radek Sedlacek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101412311114––
Jan Krupnik
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 77 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 12–10 Jan Krupnik Jan Krupnik has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:10What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krupnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-10 in 22
Sedlacek
Correct
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1568 vs Krupnik 1626
Krupnik
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 60% vs Krupnik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 30% vs Krupnik 50%
Krupnik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek +2 · Krupnik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupnik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.91 / Krupnik 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krupnik)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13073991
Sedlacek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 33 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back30% 13 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Krupnik1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 151 of 278
Up 2–0, closes it96% 68 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it72% 107 of 149
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSedlacek6wins
AwayKrupnik4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSedlacek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek83.3%5 of 6
AwayKrupnik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek6Krupnik4n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S2Sedlacek4Krupnik6n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S3Sedlacek6Krupnik4n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S4Sedlacek3Krupnik2n = 5Sedlacek took 3 of 5
S5Sedlacek2Krupnik1n = 3Sedlacek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSedlacekKrupnikS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.234.5+1.7per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 288 vs 432 / 84346.9%51.3%135 / 288 vs 432 / 843Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikSedlacek 1.91/Krupnik 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 17 · 05:45R. Sedlacek—11126113J. Krupnik—8101131
LJul 12 · 21:10R. Sedlacek—8980J. Krupnik—1111113
WJul 12 · 18:40R. Sedlacek—1111143J. Krupnik—92120
LMay 6 · 05:45R. Sedlacek—10370J. Krupnik—1211113
LApr 21 · 08:10R. Sedlacek—16111252J. Krupnik—1111710113
WMar 13 · 13:50R. Sedlacek—10101211133J. Krupnik—1212102112
WMar 13 · 11:40R. Sedlacek—1511113J. Krupnik—13750
WMar 12 · 10:15R. Sedlacek—117118113J. Krupnik—41181172
WMar 12 · 08:45R. Sedlacek—1111113J. Krupnik—7850
LMar 11 · 08:40R. Sedlacek—118761J. Krupnik—71111113
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113WSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890WSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192WSep 2 · 11:45R. Sedlacek2.0091311123T. Krenek1.7311115101LSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113LSep 2 · 09:45R. Sedlacek1.833560B. Mrowetz1.831111113LSep 1 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006970LSep 1 · 12:15B. Mrowetz2.00117115133R. Sedlacek1.73311711112LSep 1 · 11:15R. Sedlacek1.68651141L. Slavik1.9811118113
J. Krupnik10
WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152WSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113WSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113WSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113WSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181LSep 4 · 09:40M. Macurak1.77611911113J. Krupnik1.8711811882LSep 4 · 09:09M. Macurak1.91611911113J. Krupnik1.8011811882WSep 4 · 07:40J. Skvrna1.73118491J. Krupnik2.0081111113
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