TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13062764
Played Sep 2Finished
Radek Sedlacek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711116911––
Radek Benes
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:18 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Benes to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Radek Benes below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Radek Benes at 64.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 15–17 Radek Benes Radek Sedlacek has won 15 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Benes
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-17 in 32
Benes
Correct
gap of 2 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1550 vs Benes 1672
Benes
Correct
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 0% vs Benes 20%
Benes
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 30% vs Benes 60%
Benes
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek -5 · Benes -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benes) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.91 / Benes 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Benes)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13062764
Sedlacek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 32 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back29% 12 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Benes1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 186 of 331
Up 2–0, closes it95% 75 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it73% 122 of 167
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSedlacek3wins
AwayBenes7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBenes leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek60%3 of 5
AwayBenes100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek5Benes5n = 10split evenly
S2Sedlacek5Benes5n = 10split evenly
S3Sedlacek4Benes6n = 10Benes took 6 of 10
S4Sedlacek1Benes6n = 7Benes took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSedlacekBenesS − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.638.6−2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 283 vs 479 / 91446.6%52.4%132 / 283 vs 479 / 914Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesSedlacek 1.91/Benes 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 10:10R. Sedlacek—1110691R. Benes—41211113
WJul 27 · 08:10R. Sedlacek—1111133R. Benes—95110
LJun 24 · 13:15R. Sedlacek—611713102R. Benes—1161111123
WJun 24 · 10:10R. Sedlacek—1410118113R. Benes—121261192
LJun 24 · 08:40R. Sedlacek—511791R. Benes—11411113
WJun 24 · 08:10R. Sedlacek—1111113R. Benes—9680
LMay 25 · 09:40R. Sedlacek—5111181R. Benes—11813113
LApr 24 · 08:10R. Sedlacek—781461R. Benes—111112113
LApr 22 · 12:10R. Sedlacek—11790R. Benes—1311113
LApr 21 · 08:50R. Sedlacek—119481R. Benes—61111113
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890WSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192WSep 2 · 11:45R. Sedlacek2.0091311123T. Krenek1.7311115101LSep 2 · 09:45R. Sedlacek1.833560B. Mrowetz1.831111113LSep 1 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006970LSep 1 · 12:15B. Mrowetz2.00117115133R. Sedlacek1.73311711112LSep 1 · 11:15R. Sedlacek1.68651141L. Slavik1.9811118113
R. Benes10
LSep 3 · 08:44R. Benes1.919790T. Krenek1.801111113WSep 3 · 07:45T. Krenek2.00411100R. Benes1.731113123LSep 3 · 07:15B. Mrowetz1.801111113R. Benes1.915860LSep 3 · 06:15R. Benes1.83661141D. Jr1.8311119113LSep 2 · 13:15T. Krenek1.91159118113R. Benes1.80131161152WSep 2 · 12:15R. Benes1.8391112113B. Mrowetz1.831161081LSep 2 · 10:15T. Krenek1.9112811133R. Benes1.8010119111LSep 2 · 08:45D. Jr1.831111113R. Benes1.837790LSep 2 · 07:45T. Krenek1.73811117113R. Benes2.0011791182WSep 2 · 07:15D. Pawlik2.109116141R. Benes1.6711311163
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