TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058874
Played Sep 1Finished
Bruno Mrowetz
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119117––––
Radek Sedlacek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBruno Mrowetz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Bruno Mrowetz at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Bruno Mrowetz 5–7 Radek Sedlacek Bruno Mrowetz has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:42What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mrowetz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Sedlacek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrowetz 1578 vs Sedlacek 1586
Sedlacek
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrowetz 40% vs Sedlacek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrowetz 40% vs Sedlacek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrowetz +1 · Sedlacek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mrowetz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrowetz form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrowetz 1.73 / Sedlacek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mrowetz)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13058874
Mrowetz1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 66 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it78% 49 of 63
Sedlacek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 32 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back30% 12 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrowetz5wins
AwaySedlacek5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrowetz75%3 of 4
AwaySedlacek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrowetz4Sedlacek6n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S2Mrowetz5Sedlacek5n = 10split evenly
S3Mrowetz6Sedlacek4n = 10Mrowetz took 6 of 10
S4Mrowetz3Sedlacek5n = 8Sedlacek took 5 of 8
S5Mrowetz3Sedlacek2n = 5Mrowetz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrowetzSedlacekM − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.441.9+0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrowetzSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 455 vs 132 / 28149.2%47%224 / 455 vs 132 / 281Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrowetzMrowetz 1.73/Sedlacek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mrowetz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 12:15B. Mrowetz—117115133R. Sedlacek—311711112
LAug 22 · 15:10B. Mrowetz—11811752R. Sedlacek—711711113
WAug 10 · 12:48B. Mrowetz—7101411113R. Sedlacek—111212662
LAug 10 · 10:40B. Mrowetz—9138101R. Sedlacek—111111123
LJun 12 · 09:45B. Mrowetz—61490R. Sedlacek—1116113
LMay 25 · 16:45B. Mrowetz—911751R. Sedlacek—11811113
WMay 25 · 14:10B. Mrowetz—119611113R. Sedlacek—51111862
WMay 21 · 06:45B. Mrowetz—101511113R. Sedlacek—1213791
LMay 5 · 08:55B. Mrowetz—711111092R. Sedlacek—119912113
WMay 5 · 06:45B. Mrowetz—1111163R. Sedlacek—37140
B. Mrowetz10
LSep 7 · 09:10L. Lasota2.251113113B. Mrowetz1.5581190LSep 7 · 07:40B. Mrowetz1.5011811772D. Pawlik2.50911711113WSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580WSep 5 · 09:16B. Mrowetz1.831181112133M. Macurak1.831311110112WSep 5 · 07:45M. Macurak1.6111541162B. Mrowetz2.20911118113WSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 06:15B. Mrowetz1.4411116982D. Pawlik2.63831111113WSep 3 · 13:15B. Mrowetz1.441112113D. Pawlik2.6351060WSep 3 · 11:40J. Krupnik1.83116641B. Mrowetz1.8391111113
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890WSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192WSep 2 · 11:45R. Sedlacek2.0091311123T. Krenek1.7311115101LSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113LSep 2 · 09:45R. Sedlacek1.833560B. Mrowetz1.831111113LSep 1 · 12:15B. Mrowetz2.00117115133R. Sedlacek1.73311711112LSep 1 · 11:15R. Sedlacek1.68651141L. Slavik1.9811118113
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