TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13060539
Played Sep 2Finished
Radek Sedlacek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311511611––––
Bruno Mrowetz
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeBruno Mrowetz to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Bruno Mrowetz below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 47 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Bruno Mrowetz at 58.1%
47 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 7–6 Bruno Mrowetz Bruno Mrowetz has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mrowetz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1562 vs Mrowetz 1602
Mrowetz
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 20% vs Mrowetz 80%
Mrowetz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 30% vs Mrowetz 50%
Mrowetz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek -4 · Mrowetz +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sedlacek) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrowetz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.83 / Mrowetz 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sedlacek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13060539
Sedlacek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Mrowetz1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSedlacek5wins
AwayMrowetz5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek66.7%4 of 6
AwayMrowetz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek6Mrowetz4n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S2Sedlacek5Mrowetz5n = 10split evenly
S3Sedlacek4Mrowetz6n = 10Mrowetz took 6 of 10
S4Sedlacek5Mrowetz3n = 8Sedlacek took 5 of 8
S5Sedlacek2Mrowetz3n = 5Mrowetz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSedlacekMrowetzS − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.741.9−0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekMrowetzBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 282 vs 225 / 45646.8%49.3%132 / 282 vs 225 / 456Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekSedlacek 1.83/Mrowetz 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 12:45R. Sedlacek—6970B. Mrowetz—1111113
LSep 1 · 12:15R. Sedlacek—311711112B. Mrowetz—117115133
WAug 22 · 15:10R. Sedlacek—711711113B. Mrowetz—11811752
LAug 10 · 12:48R. Sedlacek—111212662B. Mrowetz—7101411113
WAug 10 · 10:40R. Sedlacek—111111123B. Mrowetz—9138101
WJun 12 · 09:45R. Sedlacek—1116113B. Mrowetz—61490
WMay 25 · 16:45R. Sedlacek—11811113B. Mrowetz—911751
LMay 25 · 14:10R. Sedlacek—51111862B. Mrowetz—119611113
LMay 21 · 06:45R. Sedlacek—1213791B. Mrowetz—101511113
WMay 5 · 08:55R. Sedlacek—119912113B. Mrowetz—711111092
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890WSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192WSep 2 · 11:45R. Sedlacek2.0091311123T. Krenek1.7311115101LSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113LSep 1 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006970LSep 1 · 12:15B. Mrowetz2.00117115133R. Sedlacek1.73311711112LSep 1 · 11:15R. Sedlacek1.68651141L. Slavik1.9811118113
B. Mrowetz10
LSep 7 · 07:40B. Mrowetz1.5011811772D. Pawlik2.50911711113WSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580WSep 5 · 09:16B. Mrowetz1.831181112133M. Macurak1.831311110112WSep 5 · 07:45M. Macurak1.6111541162B. Mrowetz2.20911118113WSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 06:15B. Mrowetz1.4411116982D. Pawlik2.63831111113WSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192WSep 1 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006970WSep 1 · 12:15B. Mrowetz2.00117115133R. Sedlacek1.73311711112
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