TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13062680
Played Sep 2Finished
Radek Sedlacek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
91113111151210––
Tomas Krenek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:47 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 82 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 56.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 9–12 Tomas Krenek Radek Sedlacek has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:47What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krenek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-12 in 21
Krenek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1535 vs Krenek 1629
Krenek
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 0% vs Krenek 80%
Krenek
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 30% vs Krenek 50%
Krenek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek -5 · Krenek +2
Sedlacek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Krenek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 2.00 / Krenek 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Krenek)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13062680
Sedlacek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 32 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back29% 12 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Krenek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 120 of 228
Up 2–0, closes it91% 48 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it75% 80 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSedlacek5wins
AwayKrenek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek33.3%1 of 3
AwayKrenek42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek3Krenek7n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S2Sedlacek3Krenek7n = 10Krenek took 7 of 10
S3Sedlacek5Krenek5n = 10split evenly
S4Sedlacek5Krenek2n = 7Sedlacek took 5 of 7
S5Sedlacek3Krenek1n = 4Sedlacek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSedlacekKrenekS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.242.6−3.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 284 vs 441 / 87446.5%50.5%132 / 284 vs 441 / 874Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekSedlacek 2.00/Krenek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 17:08R. Sedlacek—121211113T. Krenek—1410961
WAug 18 · 14:10R. Sedlacek—8101111113T. Krenek—11129972
LAug 10 · 12:10R. Sedlacek—7315131T. Krenek—111113153
LJul 15 · 07:10R. Sedlacek—133791T. Krenek—111111113
LApr 22 · 12:40R. Sedlacek—66110T. Krenek—1111133
WApr 22 · 11:10R. Sedlacek—1119123T. Krenek—917100
LApr 14 · 12:45R. Sedlacek—11691392T. Krenek—4111111113
WApr 14 · 11:40R. Sedlacek—811911113T. Krenek—11911872
LApr 8 · 12:40R. Sedlacek—6480T. Krenek—1111113
WApr 8 · 10:40R. Sedlacek—291111113T. Krenek—11119792
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890WSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192LSep 2 · 10:45R. Sedlacek1.91871191R. Benes1.8011116113LSep 2 · 09:45R. Sedlacek1.833560B. Mrowetz1.831111113LSep 1 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006970LSep 1 · 12:15B. Mrowetz2.00117115133R. Sedlacek1.73311711112LSep 1 · 11:15R. Sedlacek1.68651141L. Slavik1.9811118113
T. Krenek10
WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092WSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113LSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133WSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112WSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102WSep 3 · 08:44R. Benes1.919790T. Krenek1.801111113LSep 3 · 07:45T. Krenek2.00411100R. Benes1.731113123
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