TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076655
Played Sep 4Finished
Kamil Kleprlik
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811115119611811
Jan Skvrna
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Kleprlik above · Jan Skvrna below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 91 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kleprlik 18–16 Jan Skvrna Jan Skvrna has won 16 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:30What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Skvrna
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-16 in 34
Kleprlik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kleprlik 1576 vs Skvrna 1655
Skvrna
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kleprlik 40% vs Skvrna 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kleprlik 40% vs Skvrna 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kleprlik -3 · Skvrna -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skvrna)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvrna form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKleprlik 1.83 / Skvrna 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skvrna)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13076655
Kleprlik1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Skvrna1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKleprlik6wins
AwaySkvrna4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKleprlik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKleprlik100%5 of 5
AwaySkvrna80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kleprlik5Skvrna5n = 10split evenly
S2Kleprlik6Skvrna4n = 10Kleprlik took 6 of 10
S3Kleprlik8Skvrna2n = 10Kleprlik took 8 of 10
S4Kleprlik4Skvrna4n = 8split evenly
S5Kleprlik1Skvrna2n = 3Skvrna took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKleprlikSkvrnaK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.938.5+2.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKleprlikSkvrnaBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 489 vs 448 / 77449.3%57.9%241 / 489 vs 448 / 774Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaKleprlik 1.83/Skvrna 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skvrna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 13:45K. Kleprlik—101112682J. Skvrna—1241011113
WAug 16 · 13:45K. Kleprlik—1111113J. Skvrna—9990
LAug 9 · 15:10K. Kleprlik—913751J. Skvrna—111111113
WAug 5 · 16:15K. Kleprlik—1111133J. Skvrna—87110
LAug 1 · 14:15K. Kleprlik—761151J. Skvrna—11117113
WJul 27 · 14:45K. Kleprlik—912159113J. Skvrna—1110131182
LJul 19 · 13:40K. Kleprlik—1091111112J. Skvrna—121187133
WJul 2 · 16:40K. Kleprlik—11911113J. Skvrna—811861
WJul 2 · 14:40K. Kleprlik—11117113J. Skvrna—881181
WJun 28 · 08:10K. Kleprlik—11811113J. Skvrna—611561
K. Kleprlik10
LSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113WSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670WSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112LSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131WSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590WSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113WSep 4 · 16:15D. Skulina1.6196100K. Kleprlik2.201111123
J. Skvrna10
LSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113WSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071WSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113WSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152LSep 5 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.6171180M. Macurak2.201113113WSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681WSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113
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