TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081999
Played Sep 5Finished
Kamil Kleprlik
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116117––––
Ales Cizek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:01 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeKamil Kleprlik to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Kleprlik above · Ales Cizek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Kamil Kleprlik at 56.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kleprlik 5–3 Ales Cizek Ales Cizek has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:01What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kleprlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Kleprlik
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kleprlik 1588 vs Cizek 1493
Kleprlik
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kleprlik 60% vs Cizek 20%
Kleprlik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kleprlik 50% vs Cizek 30%
Kleprlik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kleprlik +1 · Cizek -3
Cizek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kleprlik) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cizek form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKleprlik 1.61 / Cizek 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kleprlik)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13081999
Kleprlik1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 56 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it71% 39 of 55
Cizek2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 72 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back18% 17 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKleprlik5wins
AwayCizek3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderKleprlik leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKleprlik100%4 of 4
AwayCizek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kleprlik4Cizek4n = 8split evenly
S2Kleprlik4Cizek4n = 8split evenly
S3Kleprlik6Cizek2n = 8Kleprlik took 6 of 8
S4Kleprlik4Cizek1n = 5Kleprlik took 4 of 5
S5Kleprlik1Cizek2n = 3Cizek took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKleprlikCizekK − CBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match40.438.2+2.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKleprlikCizekBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 500 vs 220 / 46149.4%47.7%247 / 500 vs 220 / 461Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KleprlikKleprlik 1.61/Cizek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Kleprlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kleprlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik—1111113A. Cizek—8670
LJul 17 · 14:45K. Kleprlik—612131172A. Cizek—1114118113
WJun 6 · 13:45K. Kleprlik—11711113A. Cizek—511671
WJun 5 · 18:15K. Kleprlik—71111113A. Cizek—119681
LMay 1 · 16:45K. Kleprlik—11690A. Cizek—1311113
WMay 1 · 13:40K. Kleprlik—1112115123A. Cizek—614911102
LApr 25 · 15:45K. Kleprlik—512914102A. Cizek—11101112123
WMar 1 · 10:45K. Kleprlik—1211113A. Cizek—10790
K. Kleprlik10
LSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113WSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112LSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131WSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590WSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113WSep 4 · 16:15D. Skulina1.6196100K. Kleprlik2.201111123LSep 4 · 15:15K. Kleprlik1.8381111682J. Skvrna1.83115911113
A. Cizek10
WSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113LSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162LSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113LSep 4 · 08:48A. Cizek1.5381341242L. Lasota2.3811111110113WSep 4 · 07:45A. Cizek1.80911711113L. Lasota1.9111611472LSep 4 · 06:45A. Cizek2.001112491T. Kindl1.7381411113WSep 4 · 05:45A. Cizek2.1011611113L. Dzida1.67811851LSep 2 · 20:48D. Skulina1.671311113A. Cizek2.1011480LSep 2 · 19:45D. Skulina2.101111123A. Cizek1.6749100WSep 2 · 19:15J. Travnicek1.571457131A. Cizek2.25121111153
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