TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076887
Played Sep 4Finished
Ivan Heuman
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911114141210121214
Kamil Kleprlik
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Heuman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIvan Heuman above · Kamil Kleprlik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 109 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Ivan Heuman at 54.0%
109 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Heuman 7–7 Kamil Kleprlik Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Heuman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Heuman 1515 vs Kleprlik 1605
Kleprlik
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Heuman 60% vs Kleprlik 40%
Heuman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Heuman 60% vs Kleprlik 40%
Heuman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Heuman -1 · Kleprlik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Heuman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kleprlik form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeuman 1.80 / Kleprlik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Heuman)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13076887
Heuman1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 47 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it68% 34 of 50
Kleprlik1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 70 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back26% 24 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeuman5wins
AwayKleprlik5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeuman71.4%5 of 7
AwayKleprlik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heuman7Kleprlik3n = 10Heuman took 7 of 10
S2Heuman4Kleprlik6n = 10Kleprlik took 6 of 10
S3Heuman4Kleprlik6n = 10Kleprlik took 6 of 10
S4Heuman4Kleprlik5n = 9Kleprlik took 5 of 9
S5Heuman3Kleprlik3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeumanKleprlikH − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.944.7−0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeumanKleprlikBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 390 vs 243 / 49449.2%49.2%192 / 390 vs 243 / 494Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeumanHeuman 1.80/Kleprlik 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Heuman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kleprlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 17:45I. Heuman—111879102K. Kleprlik—4161111123
WAug 14 · 21:20I. Heuman—181312113K. Kleprlik—16111471
LAug 14 · 19:45I. Heuman—116114122K. Kleprlik—811611143
LJul 4 · 19:10I. Heuman—551191K. Kleprlik—11117113
WJun 15 · 14:40I. Heuman—1111910113K. Kleprlik—65111262
WMay 17 · 14:45I. Heuman—119126113K. Kleprlik—611101192
WMay 1 · 21:10I. Heuman—11614133K. Kleprlik—81112111
LMay 1 · 19:10I. Heuman—911101172K. Kleprlik—117126113
LApr 18 · 20:45I. Heuman—5780K. Kleprlik—1111113
WApr 18 · 18:45I. Heuman—113711113K. Kleprlik—61111992
I. Heuman10
LSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113LSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132WSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162WSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110WSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161LSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113WSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek1.6761070I. Heuman2.101112113LSep 2 · 20:15I. Heuman2.003119101J. Travnicek1.7311711123WSep 2 · 18:45D. Skulina1.83101112482I. Heuman1.831281011113
K. Kleprlik10
LSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113WSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670WSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112LSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131WSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590LSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113WSep 4 · 16:15D. Skulina1.6196100K. Kleprlik2.201111123LSep 4 · 15:15K. Kleprlik1.8381111682J. Skvrna1.83115911113
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